The bitter irony of the story is that the only coalition that is formed after nearly three months of continuous killing of civilians in Gaza is not to confront the rebel regime of the Zionist regime to force it to stop the war; instead, it is against the forces that, in defending the oppressed Palestinian people, have tried not to remain indifferent to the attempts of the Zionist regime. In fact, with the intensification of the siege of the Palestinians in the Gaza Strip and the prevention of the Zionist regime from sending humanitarian aid to the people of that strip, the Yemeni National Army, in a retaliatory measure, decided to seize and make insecure the Zionist ships or the ships that were destined to the occupied territories, but not other ships, to force the Zionist regime to open the way for the dispatch of medicine and food to the people of Gaza.

While at the present juncture, parts of the international law that are referred to as the laws of war, human rights, and humanitarian rights are not very attractive to the European countries and the United States, the rights of the seas and observance of freedom of navigation are so important to them that they have established a military naval coalition. This coalition is led by the United States, and in the first days of its formation, it was supposed to have 20 members, and more countries were expected to join it. Still, it had not yet started, some countries such as France, Italy, Spain and Australia distanced themselves from it.

Although those countries have announced that they are primarily acting to ensure the security of shipping in the Red Sea, it seems that the measures of the Zionist regime in Gaza have reached a borderline of rudeness that few countries want to invest their credit in supporting it.

In such a situation, when the fragile American coalition in the Red Sea was faced with the breakup and rapid withdrawal of some member countries, and this was somehow interpreted as “humiliation of the US,” that country tried to attack the boats of the Yemeni army on 31^st December 2023 and kill 10 Yemeni navy warriors who were seizing a commercial ship, to prove to its half-way comrades in the coalition as well as members of the Resistance Front that the US is determined in its decision to support the Zionist regime and ensure the security of the Red Sea. Such actions and positions have increased the possibility of expanding the scope of the war in the region, but with the formation of the US coalition, are the conditions in the region going to a full-scale war?

In this regard, there are some points worth pondering that show that there will not be an all-out war; one of the most important proofs of this claim is that contrary to the previous practice of the Arab countries of the Persian Gulf, in the recent coalition, except for Bahrain, the rest of the important Arab countries have refused to join the coalition or have made it subject to the fulfillment of certain conditions.

In particular, Saudi Arabia, which is the most important Arab country in the Persian Gulf, and its decisions can guide the measures of other Arab countries despite the fact that it has an army equipped with American weapons and carries out 36 percent of its imports through the Red Sea ports, has announced that it is not interested in participating in the American coalition in the Red Sea.

The reason for adopting such an approach, along with the concern of the Saudi authorities about the destruction of their image and reputation in the Islamic world for helping the Zionist regime, is that Riyadh has taken significant steps in the past year to de-escalate and improve relations with Iran and other countries member in the Axis of Resistance and is specifically seeking an agreement with the forces of Ansarollah to end the war with Yemen. Based on this, it seems that the analysis of the Saudi authorities was that if they joined the American coalition, their efforts of the past year would be ineffective. Likely, Saudi cities will once again become the target of Sana’a attacks. In addition to the above points, the “Beijing Agreement” between Iran and the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia obliges Tehran and Riyadh not to threaten each other throughout the region, and it seems that Saudi Arabia does not want to harm this agreement at this point.

Egypt, which is one of the other important countries of the Arab world, and of course, since the beginning of the war in Gaza, has made utmost efforts to end it and recently presented a peace plan to end the war, which was not accepted by both sides, has preferred not to join the American coalition in support of the Zionist regime.

The adoption of such an approach by the important countries of the Arab world is at a time when, for many of them, it has become clear that the US president, due to the proximity of the elections, needs to make adventurous cross-border measures, magnify the power of the United States in different regions, and form international and collective coalitions. Of course, he tries to show his commitment to support the security of the Zionist regime. Still, in case of increasing conflicts and rising costs, as in the case of Afghanistan, he prefers to withdraw and leave rather than stay and support countries and nations of the region.

Based on this, it seems that the Arab countries have reached such an understanding of the opportunist US that to maintain their credibility and interests, they must adhere to the maintenance of peace and security in the region and not create a new ground for the expansion of conflicts and confrontation with the Resistance Front in the region. In such a situation, if the Arab countries remain in the same position and the United States fails to attract them as well as more European countries to participate in the coalition, the possibility of the spread of the war in the region will weaken, and the United States, due to the proximity of the elections, will probably end up with one or two more dramatic movements in the Red Sea and will not seek to create more tension and will be forced to suspend the coalition and pursue other solutions.