Strategic Council Online – If Britain withdraws from the European Union without an agreement, it will no longer be able to use the EU market and the two sides will have to negotiate customs tariffs. In such a situation, trade barriers will be built in the ports of both sides, which will make the entry and exit of goods difficult and will affect the price trend.
Morteza Makki – European Affairs Expert
Strategic Council Online – After the end of the Cold War, economic sanctions were widely used by major world powers as an active tool in foreign policy. An economic embargo is a policy in which the goal is to change a third country’s position on an issue, change its behaviour and performance, and ultimately change the political system of the country in question. This is done by applying economic pressures and restrictions and harming the welfare of society in the target country. The United States holds the record for imposing the most sanctions since a hundred years ago and has imposed more sanctions than the United Nations Security Council and other countries.
Farzan Ghasemi – Researcher at the Office of Economic Diplomacy, Imam Sadegh University
Strategic Council Online – Many countries are redefining their previous relations with the Western bloc and paying much more attention to countries in the East, such as China, India, Japan, South Korea and even Russia because they know that in the 21st century, the world economic development revolves around Asian major powers.
Strategic Council Online: The new OPEC Plus agreement was reached at a time when even zero sums was experienced in the market. From this perspective OPEC Plus countries have agreed to prevent a recurrence of such a situation, but as soon as they feel the conditions in the global oil market are back to normal, they may be tempted to violate the agreement. At the same time, the conditions for increasing demand do not seem to be stable and continuous, and it is possible that corona pandemic leave its impacts on the oil market again out of the need to impose quarantine and close part of its production and service activities.
Reza Majidzadeh – Researcher in Political and Economic Development
Strategic Council Online: Libya’s good economic opportunities have led European states to enter into serious disputes with each other in their bid to dominate Libya, each secretly and openly supporting one of the parties involved in Libya, or like the London government play a significant role in the ongoing Libyan conflict through their interventions in the Arab world and through the use of Arab reaction on their behalf.
Jafar Qanadbashi – Middle East Affairs Expert
Strategic Council Online: The Prime Minister of the United Kingdom is in a very difficult situation so that on the one hand he must be able to advance the Brexit negotiations and on the other hand he must deal with the consequences of the coronavirus disease. The combination of these two issues has created difficult conditions for Boris Johnson and the advancement of his plans in Europe and the world. At the same time, these conditions provide a special opportunity for Iran to forge industrial-economic cooperation with the United Kingdom by getting the desired concessions.
Morteza Makki – Expert on European Affairs
Strategic Council Online: A professor of political economy, referring to the economic consequences of the corona epidemic for the international economy, said: “The post-corona era is not a time to be dependent on Europe and the United States, and in the near future we will see Asian powers will increase their developmental process and economic power at higher speed and strength in the international arena.”
Strategic Council Online: In the matter of fossil energy resources in the Mediterranean, Egypt, the Zionist regime, Greece and Cyprus have formed a bloc against that of Turkey, Libya and the Northern Cyprus. This situation has drawn the region to further security and military disputes. Meanwhile, if Syria, Lebanon and Gaza also enter the process of exploring and extracting gas fields, the equations will be much more complex.
Sabah Zangeneh – Energy Affairs Expert
Strategic Council Online: Emphasizing the role of governments and international organizations in ensuring food security in the context of the corona epidemic, an international economics analyst said: “Success in overcoming these challenges will certainly require coherent and strong government programs to create a safe food system.” And international organizations need to set up food exchange arrangements around the world to prevent famine.
Strategic Council Online: The removal of the US dollar from trading on the China Commodity Exchange, given its significant contribution to the financing of European, Latin American and even African goods, means that global demand for the USD will decline. A drop in global demand for the USD would weaken the value of the currency and further destabilize its position as the dominant international currency.
Reza Majidzadeh – Developmental Political Economy Researcher
Strategic Council Online: Countries such as Italy, Spain and the United Kingdom, which have the highest rates of coronavirus and deaths, have experienced an extent of the decline in economic growth and economic power and rising budget deficits and debt levels since World War II that has been unprecedented.
Morteza Makki – Expert on European Affairs
Strategic Council Online: “The political situation of the Zionist regime has become more complicated as a result of Coronavirus outbreak and the regime seems to intend to use the ‘Deal of the Century’ plan and the annexation of the West Bank as a pretext to cover up its problems and slackness during the post-coronavirus era and exploits it as pressure leverage,” said an analyst of Israeli affairs.
Strategic Council Online: An expert on political economy said that until now the treasury of the Persian Gulf Arab states was the unofficial treasury of the Americans, adding that this type of funding will practically be cut with the falling oil prices because the Arab states themselves are faced with budget deficits and cannot afford supporting US terrorist schemes in the region.
Strategic Council Online: Given the agreement reached to reduce oil supply by the OPEC Plus States and the possibility of reducing the impact of the corona crisis on demand, oil prices are expected to rise in the next two to three months.
Mohammad Sadegh Jokar – Energy Expert
Strategic Council Online: Concerns about another shock to the UK economy after Brexit are likely to force Bors Johnson to extend negotiations with the EU in the 90th minute so that by reaching a comprehensive agreement between Britain and the EU the soft exit of UK from the European Union will be realized.
Morteza Makki – Expert on European Affairs
Strategic Council Online: In the context of global oil demand, corona epidemic has the greatest impact on future demand, and the likelihood that global oil demand will continue to be small in the next three months is high.
Reza Majidzadeh – Developmental Political Economy Researcher
Strategic Council Online: A university professor says while we saw the threat only in issues such as the economy and military power, the outbreak of coronavirus showed some issues, such as disease and ecological changes that we didn’t think about could turn into a crisis. So, he said, a mechanism must be put in place to deal with such crises in a coordinated, common and efficient way. In addition, we need to reduce our dependence on foreign supplies for our strategic goods through sound planning.
Strategic Council Online: The Saudi-Russian agreement on oil output cut has revived the role of the United States, which was being forgotten as a result of falling oil prices and the lack of economic efficiency in shale oil extraction, and the United States is effectively playing an influential role in the global oil market.
Sabah Zanganeh – Expert on International Affairs
Strategic Council Online: Citing international developments in the post-Corona era, an international affairs analyst said: “It seems that the outbreak of the Coronavirus will lead to substantial changes in various global arenas, the culmination of which is already clear.”
Strategic Council Online: It appears the Trump administration’s most important tactic for rising oil prices is to put pressure on Saudi Arabia to drag Russia into an output cut deal and to threaten imposition of tariffs on oil imports from Saudi Arabia.
Reza Majidzadeh – International Political Economy Researcher
