Al Kazemi’s Hard Way Out of Crisis in Iraq

2020/06/21 | Note, Politics, top news

Strategic Council Online: Following the formation of Mustafa al-Kazemi's government Iraq today is sailing on a boat that will inevitably have to cross a large whirlpool much of whose potential is secured outside the borders. Perhaps the only force that can ensure the safety of this boat and its successful passage is the cooperation and unity of Iraqi parties and the patience of the Iraqi people to resolve the situation in their country, at the beginning of which putting government organizations and institutions in order is among the most infrastructural affairs. Jafar Qanadbashi - Middle East Affairs Expert

The Iraqi parliament recently voted in favor of the remaining ministers in Mustafa Kazemi’s government in a meeting attended by 247 delegates. This was met with a positive response from the Iraqi Prime Minister, who called the vote of confidence a double incentive to implement his government’s plan.

Perhaps the formation of the government and the completion of its members can be described as a promising prelude to taking important steps that are considered urgent and very important necessities for Iraq to leave the current stage behind. Therefore, it can be said that the new Prime Minister of Iraq has started his heavy responsibility with proper makeup and following months of weakness and uncertainty in the executive branch, has implemented a series of necessary programs to end the political, economic and social crises in Iraq. It is a responsibility that requires the continued cooperation of members and political alliances in Iraq, and an important part of the responsibility lies with the members and coalitions that have worked very well with Kazemi in forming the government and completing it.

In any case, with the start of work of Kazemi government it is now forced to take steps to end the two major economic crises as well as the crisis caused by administrative corruption. It has put extra pressure on the new Iraqi government. Meanwhile falling oil prices and lack of significant global demand for oil have limited the main source of income for the Kazemi government. This is at a time when the third crisis of the spread of corona disease has overshadowed all current activities in Iraq and has occupied the minds of the Iraqi government and people.

Naturally, none of these crises are such that could be eliminated in the short term, or even acceptable solutions could be found to end them in the medium term. Rather, given the current situation in Iraq, it is expected that the Kazemi government will first develop expert programs to resolve each of these crises and prepare for their implementation with the help of existing parties and administrative structures in the country. Failure to resolve them could spark a resurgence of protests in Iraq. In fact, the recent remarks of the Iraqi Prime Minister regarding the resumption of ISIS activities and the dangers posed by this Takfiri group to Iraq’s security may be a prelude to discussing the necessary security issues in Iraq. This is related, on the one hand, to the nature of the relationship between the Baghdad government and the militias of Hashd al-Shaabi, and, on the other hand, to issues related to Iraqi foreign policy.

Raising the issue of strategic talks with US officials and how the talks should proceed has drawn the attention of Iraqi officials to issues other than economic crisis and corruption, and addressed a very important issue in Iraq’s relations with other countries in the region. However, the Iraqi people expect that there will be some, albeit limited, loopholes to overcome the country’s internal problems. The Baghdad government is seeking to hold another election and implement a series of related legal arrangements to get rid of some major problems the most urgent and difficult of which is to deal with corona disease.

At the same time, the issue of how to implement Iraq’s resolutions on the withdrawal of US troops is another difficult task for the Kazemi government, which has a serious impact not only on strategic negotiations with the United States but also on relations between the Iraqi government and Hashd al-Shaabi militants. Iraq, meanwhile, is a crossroads of a series of regional policies of its neighbors, as well as of trans regional powers, that have occupied the minds of Iraqi politicians some of which relate to the internal and external positions in the northern Kurdistan region.

Therefore, following the formation of Mustafa al-Kazemi’s government Iraq today is sailing on a boat that will inevitably have to cross a large whirlpool much of whose potential is secured outside the borders. Perhaps the only force that can ensure the safety of this boat and its successful passage is the cooperation and unity of Iraqi parties and the patience of the Iraqi people to resolve the situation in their country, at the beginning of which putting government organizations and institutions in order is among the most infrastructural affairs.

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