An Analysis of Prospects for the End of the War in Yemen

Strategic Council Online - Opinion: In recent weeks, a new round of political and diplomatic developments has begun in the region, the “starting point” of which should be considered the agreement between Iran and Saudi Arabia to resume diplomatic relations. After the meeting of the foreign ministers of the two countries in Beijing, the expert and political delegations of Iran and Saudi Arabia are preparing to reopen the embassies and re-establish bilateral relations. Barsam Mohammadi – Expert on regional affairs

The recent Tehran-Riyadh agreement has had significant results; the reduction of “regional gaps” and efforts to resolve tense and hostile cases that have been somehow affected by the rivalry and confrontation between the two countries are at the top of the results mentioned above.
As was predicted before, the resumption of relations between the Islamic Republic of Iran and Saudi Arabia had affected the case of Yemen. Significant openings have been created to end the war in Yemen to such an extent that in four weeks between the meeting of the high-security officials of Iran and Saudi Arabia in Beijing and the meeting of the foreign ministers of the two countries, the war in Yemen is on the downhill and its flames are gradually dying down.
With the mediation of Oman, for the first time in the past eight years, a delegation from Saudi Arabia, consisting of political and security officials, arrived in Sana’a and met and conferred with officials from the National Salvation Government of Yemen, including “Mohammed Ali al-Houthi,” a member of the Supreme Council of the People’s Revolution, and discussed the extension of the ceasefire and mechanisms to end the war in Yemen and reached agreements in this regard.
The parties agreed to extend the current ceasefire from the end of Ramadan for six months to one year under the supervision of the Security Council and guarantee from Saudi Arabia, Iran, and Oman. The agreed ceasefire will include humanitarian, economic, military, and political annexations.
According to this agreement, Sana’a International Airport will be opened for more flights, and the export of Yemeni oil will resume. In addition, the direct shipment of goods to the port of Aden in southern Yemen will also begin. Also, roads have been reopened in Taiz province, located in the southwest of Yemen, and all the prisoners of the resigned government have been released in exchange for all the Ansarollah prisoners.
Being affected by the created atmosphere, the UAE has also tried to withdraw from the territory of Yemen. However, reliable news shows that the country is still seeking to exercise control and sovereignty over some Yemeni islands.
The permanent ceasefire and the end of the war in Yemen, carried out in two stages, will be significant “turning points” in ensuring stability in West Asia. This event will end the most critical intra-regional conflict between the Islamic world and Muslim countries. The created atmosphere is a strong point and an “important achievement” that will significantly help weaken divergence and confrontation and strengthen convergence and interaction among Islamic countries.
The beginning of the political talks with Ansarollah to end the war in Yemen is an “opportunity” for Riyadh to free itself from the war that has taken on a state of attrition and has overshadowed all of Saudi Arabia’s economic plans and prospects. In fact, with the end of the conflicts, bin Salman can resume the projects related to the 2030 vision to strengthen the influence and economic presence of Saudi Arabia and turn the country into one of the crucial hubs of trade and commerce in the region.
In addition, since the end of the war in Yemen is against the inner desire of the United States, it can cause the withdrawal of American military and missile systems from Saudi Arabia, and as a result, “the gradual separation of Riyadh from Washington” and the strengthening of the country’s approach to China and Russia.
The end of the war in Yemen can also provide the process of rebuilding Yemen and reviving the country’s economy. In this regard, “appropriate mechanisms” for the reconstruction of Yemen, which requires hundreds of billions of dollars, should be considered in the talks related to the permanent ceasefire and the war’s end.
Of course, there is an important point here: the “vigilance and care” of the main stakeholders of the agreed ceasefire. It should be noted that the tension and conflict in Yemen and the continuation of the war in that country is an issue that the Americans and the Zionists “benefit” from regarding security, politics, and economics.
The eight-year war in Yemen has been one of the critical factors in the “weapons boom” of the American weapons factories. Also, the war in Yemen effectively secures the interests of the Israeli usurper regime in the Persian Gulf and its access to strategic points in this region and the occupied territories!
One of the “functions” of the war, and beyond that, any war and conflict within the Islamic world, for the Zionist regime, is that it causes the “deviation” of the thoughts and public attention of Muslims and Islamic governments from the Palestinian issue, which the Zionists have taken advantage in various forms of conflicts within the region and among Muslims, within the framework that was said.
But the final point is that the tense, warlike, and insecure atmosphere in Yemen and the Persian Gulf is one of the “important motivations” that has caused some Arab countries in the Persian Gulf to host technical and military companies and security advisers of the Israeli criminal regime in addition to the Americans. Therefore, the end of the war in Yemen can play an influential role in weakening the position of the United States and the Zionist regime in the Persian Gulf.
Of course, the case of the war in Yemen may face internal issues as well. It is related to the Yemeni-Yemeni talks and the efforts of the parties to achieve maximum achievements without considering Yemen’s political future, stability, and security. The internal parties involved in this field should take care that the Yemeni-Yemeni negotiations, the success of which is one of the main requirements for the realization of “sustainable peace,” are on the right track and, like the Syrian-Syrian negotiations, do not turn into a place for conflict and struggle to lead to a political stalemate.

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