Middle East on the Threshold of Comprehensive Peace

2023/03/27 | Note, Politics, top news

Strategic Council Online - Opinion: The strategic agreement between Iran and Saudi Arabia in Beijing will help transform the political and security conditions and move towards stable peace and stability in the region. This agreement will end the costly tensions between Tehran and Riyadh and create new political and security stability requirements and expand cooperation between the region’s countries. Hassan Hanizadeh - Expert on Middle East affairs

The countries of the region, including Turkey and the Persian Gulf Cooperation Council members, welcomed the Tehran-Riyadh agreement in Beijing and considered it a guarantee of maintaining the stability and security of the region.

The first side effects of the agreement are the turning away of the Arab countries of the Persian Gulf from the Zionist regime, just like when Saudi Arabia refused to give a visa to a high-ranking Israeli delegation. Also, the United Arab Emirates, which recently witnessed the visit of the Secretary of the Supreme National Security Council of the Islamic Republic of Iran to Abu Dhabi, canceled the contract to buy defense systems from the Zionist regime.

Syrian President Bashar Assad’s visit to Moscow and meeting with Russian President Vladimir Putin also show that Syria is coming out of a 12-year-old crisis. Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan also announced his desire to establish relations with Syria and solve his problems with Damascus on the eve of the country’s national elections. Turkey played an ultimately destructive role in the internal crisis of Syria. By strengthening the terrorist groups in that country, it occupied part of the Idlib Governorate in northwest Syria. The presence of 15,000 Turkish soldiers in a hundred bases in the northwestern regions of Syria showed that the Turkish government intends to divide an essential part of the Syrian territory. But the recent agreement between Iran and Saudi Arabia in Beijing will pave the way for sustainable peace in the region; because Iran and Saudi Arabia are the two influential countries in West Asia, and any tension between the two countries will hurt other countries.

Saudi Arabia’s cruel war against the people of Yemen, which has passed its seventh year, has cost Saudi Arabia more than 350 billion dollars; as such, some of the construction projects in Saudi Arabia have almost stopped during the past seven years. Since Mohammed bin Salman, the crown prince of Saudi Arabia, needs a safe political margin to advance his 2030 plan and reach power, he has sent positive signals for an agreement with Iran since last year. Since the month of Farvardin (March/April) last year, negotiations between Iranian and Saudi delegations began in Baghdad with the Iraqi government’s efforts. Five rounds of challenging and breathtaking talks were held on the security issues between the two countries’ delegations. The initial outcome of the negotiations was the establishment of a ceasefire between Riyadh and Sana’a. Because one of Iran’s conditions for achieving stable regional peace was the end of the war in Yemen. The negotiations were supposed to move from the security phase to the political stage. Still, the internal events in Iran last fall and the destructive role of the Saudi media in the recent events in Iran led to the halting of the negotiation process in Baghdad. But the recent visit of Chinese President Xi Jinping to Riyadh broke the deadlock between Iran and Saudi Arabia; during this visit, the president of China proposed to the Saudi side to mediate between that country and Iran, which the Saudis accepted. Also, during the visit of the president of the Islamic Republic of Iran to Beijing last February, the president of China presented the same proposal to his Iranian counterpart, which was accepted.

Negotiations between Ali Shamkhani, the Secretary of the Supreme National Security Council, and Mosaed Bin Mohammad Al-Aiban, the Saudi National Security Adviser, were held in a closed atmosphere and away from the eyes of the media, the outcome of which was the recent agreement. Now the season of political harvest from this agreement has come because many Arab countries in the region, including the UAE, Bahrain, Jordan, and Egypt, will join the circle of the Iran-Saudi Arabia agreement in the future following Riyadh. In such a process and considering that Recep Tayyip Erdoğan needs an international political achievement on the eve of Turkey’s national elections for the victory of the Justice and Development Party, therefore, speculation is that the Turkish president will move towards peace with his neighbor Syria shortly. This stable peace has high economic and security benefits for China, which needs the fossil energy of Iran and Saudi Arabia and intends to remove the specter of the US from the region. Instead of continuing the tension and confrontation, the path of convergence and understanding is ahead for the region’s countries.

In general, it seems that the year 1402 should be called the year of peace, convergence, regional development, isolation of the Zionist regime, and the beginning of a constructive interaction to ensure the common interests of the Muslim countries in the region.

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