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Finding the Roots of Recent Tensions between Turkey and France

Strategic Council Online: Following recent incident in Mediterranean waters between Turkish and French navies, the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) has ordered an investigation into this unprecedented incident in the military relations between the two member states. The announcement of the arrest of members of a French spy network by Ankara, who were gathering information on Turkish soil, once again showed another questionable reflection of the internal developments of the NATO alliance and the deep differences in relations between its members.
Abolghasem Delphi – Former Ambassador to France

Europe’s Challenges in Siding with US on IAEA’s Iran Resolution

Strategic Council Online – An expert on disarmament issues said that Europe had joined the US-Israeli-Saudi scenario by voting for a resolution against Iran at the Board of Governors of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA).

Libya; Scene of Turkey-Egypt Proxy War

Strategic Council Online – For the Westerners, any defeat and retreat of General Haftar’s forces mean the defeat of Egypt and the Arab reactionary states, which have sought to secure Western interests in Libya on a proxy basis, and now with the big defeat of Khalifa Haftar’s forces, have left the battlefield to the rival forces supported by Turkey.
Jafar Qanadbashi – African Affairs Expert

Stability Challenges in Libya Despite Haftar’s Field Setback

Strategic Council Online – Talking about the field progress of the National Unity Government and the defeats of Khalifa Haftar in Libya, a university professor said it is unlikely that peace will be achieved in Libya in the current situation. He stressed that other agreements should be reached in addition to the Skhirat peace agreement another deal must be forged taking into account the demands of the political groups because if the government of national unity fails to meet the people’s demands we may see extremist groups emerge in the country.

Turkey’s Outlook about South Persian Gulf States

Strategic Council Online – Despite the continuation of some economic cooperation between Turkey and Saudi Arabia and the UAE, in the political and security spheres, serious challenges will be faced in the future in these countries.
Davoud Ahmadzadeh – Middle East Affairs Expert

Failure of Human Rights Claimers in Corona Test

Strategic Council Online: A professor of geopolitics says the different approaches in treating patients with corona disease showed that human rights in some countries claiming to advocate them are being forgotten in certain situations in the fight against infectious diseases or outbreak of war. He added that it must be seen what would be the position of countries and the so-called defenders of human rights in the face of these events in post-corona period.

Strategic Implications of US Troops Pullout from Afghanistan

Strategic Council Online: According to the agreement reached between the United States and the Taliban in March 2018, the withdrawal of US troops from Afghanistan will begin and by mid-July (July 2020) the number of US combat troops will reach 8600 persons. This is happening at a time when the bilateral security agreement between the United States and the Afghan government is still valid. In addition, in recent months, the activities of terrorist groups in Afghanistan have not diminished, but in addition to the Taliban’s spring attacks, ISIS terrorist activities in Afghanistan are taking civilian tolls from among the oppressed people of Afghanistan, and the atmosphere of insecurity has not changed. Although the withdrawal of US troops from Afghanistan is important, it may have significant implications for the future of Afghanistan and the region, given the shortcomings and negligence in fulfilling their commitments, especially in the field of training Afghan forces. Americans should accept responsibility and pay the damages.
Seyed Mostafa Hashemi – Afghan Affairs Expert

Economic Competition of Powers in Libya

Strategic Council Online: Libya’s good economic opportunities have led European states to enter into serious disputes with each other in their bid to dominate Libya, each secretly and openly supporting one of the parties involved in Libya, or like the London government play a significant role in the ongoing Libyan conflict through their interventions in the Arab world and through the use of Arab reaction on their behalf.
Jafar Qanadbashi – Middle East Affairs Expert

Extraction of Energy in Mediterranean & Its Legal Complexity

Strategic Council Online: In the matter of fossil energy resources in the Mediterranean, Egypt, the Zionist regime, Greece and Cyprus have formed a bloc against that of Turkey, Libya and the Northern Cyprus. This situation has drawn the region to further security and military disputes. Meanwhile, if Syria, Lebanon and Gaza also enter the process of exploring and extracting gas fields, the equations will be much more complex.
Sabah Zangeneh – Energy Affairs Expert

US Goals behind Decision to Withdraw Arms, Troops from Saudi Arabia

Strategic Council Online: A university professor on geopolitical issues says the United States is withdrawing its Patriot missiles and troops from Saudi Arabia to earn more money from Riyadh. “Economic pressures have prompted Americans to try to test the Saudis to see how much they can help provide funding,” he said. However, the decision does not appear to be final, and it remains to be seen what the Saudis could do to keep Trump satisfied.”

Why the Ceasefire in Libya Failed?

Strategic Council Online: The new round of rivalries in Libya began when the Turkish and Russian governments sought to pave the way for their exclusive presence in the country under the pretext of a ceasefire. They aimed to forge an agreement between Seraj and Haftar governments without the knowledge of the European states.
Jafar Qanadbashi – Middle East Affairs Expert

Consequences of Elimination of USD from China Commodity Exchange

Strategic Council Online: The removal of the US dollar from trading on the China Commodity Exchange, given its significant contribution to the financing of European, Latin American and even African goods, means that global demand for the USD will decline. A drop in global demand for the USD would weaken the value of the currency and further destabilize its position as the dominant international currency.
Reza Majidzadeh – Developmental Political Economy Researcher

Strategic Outcome of Escalating Intervention by Foreign Actors in Libya

Strategic Council Online: Referring to the war of words between Turkey and the UAE over Libya, a university professor said that the rivalry that has taken place between the two groups in Libya is an endless game in which neither side will succeed in becoming influential powers in the Middle East and the Mediterranean. He said if this trend continues they will not be total victors in Libya.

Reasons for Rise in World Military Expenditures and Future Prospects

Strategic Council Online: It seems that India and China will continue arms purchases in the coming years, but countries such as Turkey, Saudi Arabia or some European states whose economies have been hurt by the corona outbreak are forced to adapt to the new conditions and turn a blind eye to the US pressures to buy weapons in the last few months to the US presidential election.
Abdolreza Farajirad – Geopolitical Affairs Expert

Turkish Army’s Approach on Idlib after Truce with Russia

Strategic Council Online: A university professor said there was no consensus on maintaining a long-term ceasefire in Idlib, noting that sooner or later this fragile ceasefire would collapse because Turkey has realized Bashar Assad will stay in power and therefore Ankara will need a bargaining chip to protect its interests.

New Balance of Power against Turkey

Strategic Council Online: A former ambassador and Middle East expert says the recent developments in Arab states against Turkey are expected to create a new balance of power. “If Erdogan fails to pay attention to the issue, the axis is likely to boost its status against Turkey in the future.

US Observation about Recent Russian-Turkish Deal on Idlib

Strategic Council Online: A West Asian affairs expert said US opposition to a UN Security Council statement in support of the recent ceasefire agreement between Turkey and Russia was over fears that Russia will hold the upper hand in the talks. He added that the agreement reached in the talks on Idlib was in the interest of the government of Bashar Assad.

Turkey’s International Isolation on Idlib Crisis

Strategic Council Online: The Ankara government has again resorted to the traditional policy of using the leverage of immigrants and refugees to drag Europe into the war in Idlib; but this policy failed to draw support from European countries for Recep Tayyip Erdogan and the Ankara government, but unlike previous times that they had pledged a series of donations, this time fully condemned Turkey’s “blackmail.”
Shoaib Bahman: International Affairs Expert

Russia-Turkey Agreement and Prospect of Sustained Ceasefire in Idlib

Strategic Council Online: An expert on Middle East affairs said that the ceasefire agreement between Russia and Turkey is more likely to be in Syria’s favour. He said, given Turkey’s plight in Syria as well as the capability of the Syrian government and army to drive foreign forces out of their country, Turkey has to accept a new agreement.

Risk of Regional Warfare in Libya and UN Inefficiency

Strategic Council Online: Former Iranian ambassador to Libya criticizing the UN role and performance in Libya crisis said the outbreak of a regional war in Libya is unlikely but current violence and political confrontations will continue.

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