بایگانی‌های Turkey - Strategic Council on Foreign Relations

Extraction of Energy in Mediterranean & Its Legal Complexity

Strategic Council Online: In the matter of fossil energy resources in the Mediterranean, Egypt, the Zionist regime, Greece and Cyprus have formed a bloc against that of Turkey, Libya and the Northern Cyprus. This situation has drawn the region to further security and military disputes. Meanwhile, if Syria, Lebanon and Gaza also enter the process of exploring and extracting gas fields, the equations will be much more complex.
Sabah Zangeneh – Energy Affairs Expert

US Goals behind Decision to Withdraw Arms, Troops from Saudi Arabia

Strategic Council Online: A university professor on geopolitical issues says the United States is withdrawing its Patriot missiles and troops from Saudi Arabia to earn more money from Riyadh. “Economic pressures have prompted Americans to try to test the Saudis to see how much they can help provide funding,” he said. However, the decision does not appear to be final, and it remains to be seen what the Saudis could do to keep Trump satisfied.”

Why the Ceasefire in Libya Failed?

Strategic Council Online: The new round of rivalries in Libya began when the Turkish and Russian governments sought to pave the way for their exclusive presence in the country under the pretext of a ceasefire. They aimed to forge an agreement between Seraj and Haftar governments without the knowledge of the European states.
Jafar Qanadbashi – Middle East Affairs Expert

Consequences of Elimination of USD from China Commodity Exchange

Strategic Council Online: The removal of the US dollar from trading on the China Commodity Exchange, given its significant contribution to the financing of European, Latin American and even African goods, means that global demand for the USD will decline. A drop in global demand for the USD would weaken the value of the currency and further destabilize its position as the dominant international currency.
Reza Majidzadeh – Developmental Political Economy Researcher

Strategic Outcome of Escalating Intervention by Foreign Actors in Libya

Strategic Council Online: Referring to the war of words between Turkey and the UAE over Libya, a university professor said that the rivalry that has taken place between the two groups in Libya is an endless game in which neither side will succeed in becoming influential powers in the Middle East and the Mediterranean. He said if this trend continues they will not be total victors in Libya.

Reasons for Rise in World Military Expenditures and Future Prospects

Strategic Council Online: It seems that India and China will continue arms purchases in the coming years, but countries such as Turkey, Saudi Arabia or some European states whose economies have been hurt by the corona outbreak are forced to adapt to the new conditions and turn a blind eye to the US pressures to buy weapons in the last few months to the US presidential election.
Abdolreza Farajirad – Geopolitical Affairs Expert

Turkish Army’s Approach on Idlib after Truce with Russia

Strategic Council Online: A university professor said there was no consensus on maintaining a long-term ceasefire in Idlib, noting that sooner or later this fragile ceasefire would collapse because Turkey has realized Bashar Assad will stay in power and therefore Ankara will need a bargaining chip to protect its interests.

New Balance of Power against Turkey

Strategic Council Online: A former ambassador and Middle East expert says the recent developments in Arab states against Turkey are expected to create a new balance of power. “If Erdogan fails to pay attention to the issue, the axis is likely to boost its status against Turkey in the future.

US Observation about Recent Russian-Turkish Deal on Idlib

Strategic Council Online: A West Asian affairs expert said US opposition to a UN Security Council statement in support of the recent ceasefire agreement between Turkey and Russia was over fears that Russia will hold the upper hand in the talks. He added that the agreement reached in the talks on Idlib was in the interest of the government of Bashar Assad.

Turkey’s International Isolation on Idlib Crisis

Strategic Council Online: The Ankara government has again resorted to the traditional policy of using the leverage of immigrants and refugees to drag Europe into the war in Idlib; but this policy failed to draw support from European countries for Recep Tayyip Erdogan and the Ankara government, but unlike previous times that they had pledged a series of donations, this time fully condemned Turkey’s “blackmail.”
Shoaib Bahman: International Affairs Expert

Russia-Turkey Agreement and Prospect of Sustained Ceasefire in Idlib

Strategic Council Online: An expert on Middle East affairs said that the ceasefire agreement between Russia and Turkey is more likely to be in Syria’s favour. He said, given Turkey’s plight in Syria as well as the capability of the Syrian government and army to drive foreign forces out of their country, Turkey has to accept a new agreement.

Risk of Regional Warfare in Libya and UN Inefficiency

Strategic Council Online: Former Iranian ambassador to Libya criticizing the UN role and performance in Libya crisis said the outbreak of a regional war in Libya is unlikely but current violence and political confrontations will continue.

Turkey and Multivariate Equations in Idlib

Strategic Council Online: Turkey believes if Idlib is liberated Ankara’s role in the next political process in Syria will decline and the Syrian government may in future seek to oust Turkish forces from other areas, such as Afrin.
Siamak Kakai – Turkey affairs expert

Erdogan and Idlib: From ‘Strategic Confusion’ to ‘Strategic Trouble ‘

Strategic Council Online: An expert on Middle East affairs said Turkey was in a state of unprecedented strategic confusion, especially in Idlib, adding that if Ankara fails to use these tools and is unable to come out of the strategic confusion in Idlib and gain field achievements there would remain no other way for Erdogan than negotiation.

Haftar’s Goals behind Conditional Acceptance of Ceasefire

Strategic Council Online: A university professor outlining the failure to achieve peace and ceasefire in Libya said: Since Khalifa Haftar is fully aware that Turkey would not abandon its support for economic investments and Brotherhood-led government in North Africa it has made accepting the ceasefire conditional on Turkish troop withdrawal from Libya to send the ball into the court of the National Unity Government and impose international pressure on it

Kashmir the Cause of Tension in Pakistan-Saudi Relations

Strategic Council Online: Given that Kashmir is considered one of the main red lines of the Pakistani government and people, Saudi Arabia has essentially adopted a thoughtful silence in this regard, which has become a challenge in relations between the two countries.
Mohammad Reza Asgari Moroudi – Subcontinent Affairs Expert

Chinese Economy and Consequences of Coronavirus

Strategic Council Online: The Coronavirus has hit the Chinese economy badly, and it will, for a long time, make China’s economy vulnerable. When China’s annual economic growth reaches below 6%, political alarm bells will be sounded, meaning 2020 maybe a year of domestic political challenges for the Beijing government.
Dr Saeed Attar – University Professor

New Threats from Ankara and Continued Military Presence in Syria

Strategic Council Online: A West Asia affairs expert said the reading of Russia, Iran and Syria of the Sochi deal appear to be different from what Turkey thinks of the deal. Mr Erdogan is making his own personal interpretation of the Sochi deal, which is tantamount to turning the negotiating table upside down and disturb the rules of the game.

Russian Response and Warning to Turkey in Syria

Strategic Council Online: What is evident in the Turkish government’s intentions to deploy troops, or in other words maintain military presence in Libya, is that the Erdogan government not only in words but in practice wants to somehow revive the Ottoman Empire by restoring Turkey’s leadership in the Muslim world through a formidable foreign policy game.
Dr Ghadir Golkarian, professor at the University of Near East, Cyprus

Deal of the Century Scheme; Dimensions and Implications

Strategic Council Online: Saudi Arabia, led by Mohammed bin Salman, seeks to expand political and economic ties with the Zionist regime by trying to incorporate Israel into emerging power blocs in the Middle East, providing a new model of friendship and hostility in the region, forgetting the aspirations of the Palestinian people, and completely disregarding their natural rights and portraying Iran instead of Israel as the enemy of the Arabs.
Davoud Ahmadzadeh – Middle East Affairs Expert