Strategic Importance of AI Application in Diplomacy, Macro Policies

Strategic Council Online - Interview: The managing director of Sharif Innovation Development and Trade Campus said: Application of artificial intelligence (AI) and quantum processing increases the ability of any system to make decisions, and this issue is highly needed in foreign relations, diplomacy, and macro policy making and should be taken seriously.

In an interview with the website of the Strategic Council on Foreign Relations, Dr. Pirouz Ghofrani referred to the importance of the application of artificial intelligence in diplomacy and foreign relations and stated: In the past 50 years, two global trends have been created, both of which are related to data, on the other hand, the volume of data has increased considerably and expansion of communications has made data exchange easier, and on the other hand, and more importantly, data management software and technologies have taken on a more important and effective role in the past few decades.

He added: This trend has made data-based decision-making essential. In this situation, what data should constitute the basis for decision-making, what type should be accepted and refined, which should be ignored, looked at with doubt, or which should be deferred to finding more evidence and clues has become critical. In addition, it is necessary to analyze how to categorize these data, including non-deterministic and other data.

He added: The high volume of data and the speed of formation of new technologies and paradigms have made humankind unable to predict everything in advance and determine the future path with certainty. Uncertainty has dramatically increased, and globalization, the development of communication, and the increase of emerging crises and phenomena make us unable, in many cases, to accurately analyze what scenarios may be formed in the future. Technology, as one of the critical drivers of change and the connection of technologies with each other and the creation of new paradigms due to the impact and mutual influence of technologies, has strongly affected this issue, that is, the unpredictability of developments.

The managing director of Sharif Innovation Development and Trade Campus stated that uncertainties had caused a new issue in management under the title of Scenario Based Decision Making be raised, which, based on the data and their analysis and the knowledge of the subject and the possibilities that may be imagined about the types of interpretation of the subject, various scenarios are examined, adding: In this process, preparation for different scenarios is essential. The human mind fills the information blind spots with available information, which can be the basis of the following error in decision-making. This is where the difference in decisions becomes clear.

Ghofrani continued: Differences in perceptions and errors caused by mental biases and news formatting, errors caused by mischief, falsification of news and rumors of the enemy, and other errors that prevent correct human interpretation may remove some scenarios from analysts’ minds and limit decision-making options. One of the methods of shaping the minds of the general public and even the minds of experts is to use the cognitive biases of the audience, which have been highly paid attention to in recent years. Even the issue of cognitive warfare has been used as one of the fields of war in the operational areas of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) for several years.

The former diplomat added: This is where artificial intelligence and quantum processing can help the decision-making and scenario-writing process. These technologies can process many scenarios that were ignored due to cognitive errors, haste, and elimination of possibilities due to being considered far from the mind in designing information interpretation options and better decision bases. Regardless of human cognitive errors, artificial intelligence can analyze all imaginable opportunities and the costs and benefits of each and introduce the best modes by examining different modes while considering the costs and benefits.

Reminding that the discussion about the dangers of artificial intelligence is because it considers the possibility of options that humans have not seen, he said: Artificial intelligence cannot accept human logic due to what it considers not to see some correct options and even consider its options for action to be superior. Quantum processing allows simultaneous analysis of different scenarios at a much higher speed. Combining quantum processing with artificial intelligence can introduce different scenarios into the decision-making model, which experts may have ignored while paying attention to other options and examining them.

The former Iranian diplomat emphasized that these technologies’ sensitivity is definitely higher in foreign relations, where decisions are multi-dimensional and influenced by many factors. Decision-making in foreign relations requires high analysis and processing power, correct and accurate classification of information, access to information, including confidential and undisclosed information, and avoidance of mental filters and cognitive errors.

Ghofrani pointed out: If artificial intelligence and learning machines are correctly programmed, they will make the least mistakes in this regard, and in this case, we can expect them to see different scenarios, and their logic should not be affected by taste, daily moods, emotions, and anger or lack of knowledge.

He added: Therefore, due to the increase of unpredictable phenomena and the uncertainties of the future world, the application of new technologies of knowledge management and information processing, including artificial intelligence and quantum processing, can increase the ability of any system to make decisions should be taken into consideration in institutions in charge of foreign relations, diplomacy, and macro policy making.

0 Comments

LATEST CONTENT

Claims of a US Arms Embargo against Zionist Regime Reveal America’s Deception

Strategic Council Online – Interview: An expert on international issues said that the US claims to have suspended sending weapons to the Zionist regime is a political deception to silence public opinion because this would make no difference in the nature of Washington’s support for the Zionist army and the existence of this regime.

Goals of Blinken’s Recent Trip to Saudi Arabia

Strategic Council Online—Interview: A researcher of Saudi affairs said that US Secretary of State Anthony Blinken arrived in Riyadh recently during a regional trip and had consultations with the Riyadh officials. It seems that one of the items on the agenda between Saudi Arabia and America, in addition to the Gaza war, is the process of normalizing relations between the Israeli regime and the Arab kingdom.

Dr. Kharrazi's response to the new US position on Iran's nuclear program:
It Was America That Abandoned Nuclear Diplomacy/ Iran Also Considers Diplomacy the Best Approach

Strategic Council Online: The President of the Strategic Council on Foreign Relations stated: “The US State Department spokesperson, after my interview with Al Jazeera, reiterated their past remarks, stating that they won’t allow Iran to build nuclear weapons, but ultimately said diplomacy is the best approach. Yes, we too prefer diplomacy since based on the Fatwa of our Supreme Leader are not for nuclear weapons; rather, we are advocates of diplomacy to make the Middle East a nuclear-free region. But, in case the Israeli regime threatens us with nuclear weapons, we surely cannot sit idle and wait for permission from others.”

Europe’s Confusion in Securing Bab al-Mandab Strait and the Red Sea

Strategic Council Online – Opinion: The strategic Strait of Bab al-Mandab and the Red Sea have recently faced serious problems and crises due to the Gaza war. This is because of the protectionist approach of the Yemeni army forces toward Palestine, which, since the beginning of the Israeli regime’s attacks on the Gaza Strip, has included attacks on ships bound for or from the origin of the regime in the Red Sea.
They said they will continue their attacks until the Israeli regime’s military aggression in the Gaza Strip ends. The United States, as the most important supporter of the Israeli regime, was the first country to respond to this policy of Yemeni army forces and tried to form a global coalition to counter these attacks under the cover of supporting freedom of navigation, which, of course, failed because of conflicts of interests of Western countries and ended in the actions of the US and British attacks on positions in Yemen. Of course, although European countries were not seriously involved in the American coalition, they have numerous and complex interests in this inflammatory, and as a result, have adopted a particular and independent approach.
Dr. Mohammad Mehdi Mazaheri – University Professor

The prospect of Possible Departure of Hamas Political Office from Qatar

Strategic Council Online – Interview: An expert on regional issues said Qatari authorities will definitely resist Western pressure to expel Hamas leaders from their territory, and probably the United States will not move towards a zero-hundred equation in this regard because if the Hamas leaders remain in Qatar, which is an ally of the United States, is better than moving to a country outside the power of the United States to exert pressure.

Messages and Consequences of Student Protests in the United States

Strategic Council Online – Opinion: Student protests in America take on new dimensions every day.
Because the university enjoys higher public trust and social capital than other civil and social institutions and is, therefore, more effective, the current protests put the U.S. government in a “difficult situation” that is clear in the statements of current and former U.S. officials.
Hamid Khoshayand – International Affairs Expert

Loading

Últimas publicaciones

Claims of a US Arms Embargo against Zionist Regime Reveal America’s Deception

Strategic Council Online – Interview: An expert on international issues said that the US claims to have suspended sending weapons to the Zionist regime is a political deception to silence public opinion because this would make no difference in the nature of Washington’s support for the Zionist army and the existence of this regime.

Goals of Blinken’s Recent Trip to Saudi Arabia

Strategic Council Online—Interview: A researcher of Saudi affairs said that US Secretary of State Anthony Blinken arrived in Riyadh recently during a regional trip and had consultations with the Riyadh officials. It seems that one of the items on the agenda between Saudi Arabia and America, in addition to the Gaza war, is the process of normalizing relations between the Israeli regime and the Arab kingdom.

Dr. Kharrazi's response to the new US position on Iran's nuclear program:
It Was America That Abandoned Nuclear Diplomacy/ Iran Also Considers Diplomacy the Best Approach

Strategic Council Online: The President of the Strategic Council on Foreign Relations stated: “The US State Department spokesperson, after my interview with Al Jazeera, reiterated their past remarks, stating that they won’t allow Iran to build nuclear weapons, but ultimately said diplomacy is the best approach. Yes, we too prefer diplomacy since based on the Fatwa of our Supreme Leader are not for nuclear weapons; rather, we are advocates of diplomacy to make the Middle East a nuclear-free region. But, in case the Israeli regime threatens us with nuclear weapons, we surely cannot sit idle and wait for permission from others.”

Europe’s Confusion in Securing Bab al-Mandab Strait and the Red Sea

Strategic Council Online – Opinion: The strategic Strait of Bab al-Mandab and the Red Sea have recently faced serious problems and crises due to the Gaza war. This is because of the protectionist approach of the Yemeni army forces toward Palestine, which, since the beginning of the Israeli regime’s attacks on the Gaza Strip, has included attacks on ships bound for or from the origin of the regime in the Red Sea.
They said they will continue their attacks until the Israeli regime’s military aggression in the Gaza Strip ends. The United States, as the most important supporter of the Israeli regime, was the first country to respond to this policy of Yemeni army forces and tried to form a global coalition to counter these attacks under the cover of supporting freedom of navigation, which, of course, failed because of conflicts of interests of Western countries and ended in the actions of the US and British attacks on positions in Yemen. Of course, although European countries were not seriously involved in the American coalition, they have numerous and complex interests in this inflammatory, and as a result, have adopted a particular and independent approach.
Dr. Mohammad Mehdi Mazaheri – University Professor

The prospect of Possible Departure of Hamas Political Office from Qatar

Strategic Council Online – Interview: An expert on regional issues said Qatari authorities will definitely resist Western pressure to expel Hamas leaders from their territory, and probably the United States will not move towards a zero-hundred equation in this regard because if the Hamas leaders remain in Qatar, which is an ally of the United States, is better than moving to a country outside the power of the United States to exert pressure.

Messages and Consequences of Student Protests in the United States

Strategic Council Online – Opinion: Student protests in America take on new dimensions every day.
Because the university enjoys higher public trust and social capital than other civil and social institutions and is, therefore, more effective, the current protests put the U.S. government in a “difficult situation” that is clear in the statements of current and former U.S. officials.
Hamid Khoshayand – International Affairs Expert

Loading