Tag: Ceasefire

Strategic Importance of Libyan Developments for Turkey and Greece

Strategic Council Online – The Eastern Mediterranean, border issues as well as the maritime agreement between Turkey and Libya are among the axes that have caused tensions between Greece and Turkey over the past two years. One of the contentious issues between the two neighbors is the internal developments in Libya. The visits of the leaders of both Libyan factions to Turkey and Greece have been met with fringe and controversy, and the crisis in Libya has practically added to the scope of the traditional rivalry between Athens and Ankara. Libya is in a geopolitically sensitive position, and its developments directly affect the security of Africa, the Middle East and Europe. If the Libyan crisis is resolved, the country can increase its oil production in 2 to 3 years and start oil trade with southern Europe.
Mahmoud Fazeli – Analyst of international affairs

Signs of Shift in Balance of Power in Yemen War

Strategic Council Online – An expert on the Middle East affairs, commenting on the latest political and military developments in Yemen, said that the current developments in Yemen have serious distinctions compared to the developments of the last 6 years, which are indicative of new events.

Afghanistan Peace Talks and Challenges Ahead

Strategic Council Online – Given that the Taliban are only thinking of returning Afghanistan to its dictatorship through the formation of the Islamic Emirate and want power only in the hands of this group, it will be very unlikely for peace talks between the Afghan government and the Taliban to succeed.

Mohammad Reza Asgari Moroudi – senior expert in Asia affairs

Afghanistan and its future

Strategic Council Online—Interview: An expert of sub-continental issues says the Moscow peace meeting on Afghanistan is going to be held on 18 March 2021 in Russia but is facing a lot of challenges.

Hidden Targets of Biden’s Yemen War Policy

Strategic Council Online – An expert on the Middle East affairs, commenting on the differences between US foreign policy towards Yemen during Donald Trump’s presidency and under Joe Biden, said: Biden’s policy on putting an end to the war in Yemen is not about human rights issues; rather what he follows in ending the war is to help its ally, Saudi Arabia, which is entrapped in that crisis.

Prospects of the end of political crisis in Libya

Strategic Council Online—Interview: An expert of Africa studies says the United Nations Secretary General’s proposal to send international observers to guarantee and monitor the ceasefire in Libya aims to expedite the process of state-building in that country.

The ambiguous future of the Karabakh conflict and Iran’s preparedness to play a constructive role

Strategic Council Online—Opinion: The Security Council of the United Nations has issued four resolutions so far on the Karabakh issue, asking Armenia to evacuate seven cities of the Republic of Azerbaijan; however, Yerevan has refused to withdraw. Therefore, the Security Council should convince Armenia, perhaps through the current mechanisms such as Chapter Seven of the Charter of the United Nations, to return these cities to the Republic of Azerbaijan.
Mohsen Pak-Aeen – Former ambassador of Iran to the Republic of Azerbaijan

Libya eyeing lengthy and difficult negotiations

Strategic Council Online – Interview: The two sides of the war in Libya have ceased the conflict under the present circumstances and are calling for political talks to end the deadlock, an expert of international relations said, adding that they face lengthy and difficult negotiations.

Why Is Europe Oppose to Release of Taliban Prisoners

Strategic Council Online – Europeans say that if the release of Taliban prisoners by the Afghan and US governments is to be a sign of confidence in the start of intra-Afghan negotiations, the Taliban must take further confidence-building steps. Therefore, from the European point of view, the release of 5,000 Taliban forces, even without a positive outlook for a peace agreement, is tactically very dangerous.
Nozar Shafiee – Expert and Researcher on Subcontinent Issues

Ansarullah’s Military Strategy towards Saudi Coalition

Strategic Council Online – Yemen is now facing major developments that will extend beyond the land borders of Yemen and neighboring countries. With the recent threats posed by the Yemeni army and popular committees, it seems that in the coming days there will be changes in the depths of Saudi Arabia and the UAE, and it will not even be far from expected that Ansarullah may consider hitting targets in the Zionist regime.
Reza Mirabian – Expert on Developments in Persian Gulf

Reasons for UNSC “Stop the Conflict” Resolution Ineffectiveness

Strategic Council Online – An international affairs expert said that the resolution to end the conflict in the context of the corona outbreak, like most Security Council resolutions, does not provide an executive guarantee, adding that UNSC members often have conflicting political stances and it is very difficult to agree on a text. At the same time there is not strong political resolve to implement these interpretive texts.

Why the Ceasefire in Libya Failed?

Strategic Council Online: The new round of rivalries in Libya began when the Turkish and Russian governments sought to pave the way for their exclusive presence in the country under the pretext of a ceasefire. They aimed to forge an agreement between Seraj and Haftar governments without the knowledge of the European states.
Jafar Qanadbashi – Middle East Affairs Expert

Turkish Army’s Approach on Idlib after Truce with Russia

Strategic Council Online: A university professor said there was no consensus on maintaining a long-term ceasefire in Idlib, noting that sooner or later this fragile ceasefire would collapse because Turkey has realized Bashar Assad will stay in power and therefore Ankara will need a bargaining chip to protect its interests.

Berlin Conference: Scene of Rivalry and Profit Seeking of Different Actors in Libya

Strategic Council Online: Despite the presence of representatives of the four major international organizations, the Berlin Conference was a venue for the rivalry of various big players and profit-seeking of European powers over its resources rather than showing conciliation and convergence on a ceasefire and peace in Libya.
Jafar Ghanadbashi – African Affairs Expert

Will Libya Attain Tranquility?

Strategic Council Online: A university professor cited Moscow’s announcement that Khalifa Haftar has left Moscow without signing a ceasefire agreement with the Libyan National Unity Government, saying: “Until the Arab countries are convinced that Khalifa Haftar will have the upper hand in the agreements to be reached, they will not be willing to allow him to agree to a ceasefire.”

Yemen’s Growing Resistance Provides Grounds for Ceasefire

Strategic Council Online: A regional affairs analyst pointing to the dimensions and implications of Operation “Victory from God” in Najran and Yemen’s increasing resistance power said the spontaneous improvement could cause a balance of terror and concern among the Saudis. These developments have made Saudi Arabia more inclined to seek a mutually agreed to solution.

Saudi Retreat and Ansarullah’s Intelligent Reaction

Strategic Council Online: Undoubtedly, with this kind of response to Ansarullah’s ceasefire proposal by Riyadh authorities they intend to thwart accusations of warmongering and non-acceptance of peace terms. In contrast, they aim to undermine Ansarullah’s very positive and peaceful position over the past several weeks in the mass media.
Jafar Ghanadbashi – Middle East Affairs Expert