Intl. Implications of China’s Future Presidency over BRICS

2022/07/03 | Note, political, top news

Strategic Council Online - Opinion: Tensions and rivalries between China and the United States have global significance and implications, affecting relations with other powers and even international organizations and institutions such as the G20 or the United Nations and its agencies. Pouria Nabipour - Ph.D. in political science and international relations

The ongoing rivalry between the United States and China has recently engulfed all strategic discussions, including political, military, and economic. From China’s point of view, the United States will never voluntarily cede significant international influence to China. One of the issues that seem to be converging inside China is the expectation that from Trump to Biden, the US strategic orientation towards China will continue unchanged. Even though Chinese experts acknowledge that Biden’s administration takes a more subtle tone and a softer approach to dealing with problems, they expect the United States and the West to deal a blow on China in various ways, such as using human rights leverage to interfere in China’s internal affairs, tightening sanctions and bringing the sovereignty of the country in Hong Kong and Taiwan, and the root causes of the hostility of the United States with China will remain unchanged. Therefore, Beijing seems to be preparing for a long-term struggle with the declining but still powerful and dangerous United States, which is formed with an aim of resisting the strategy of the West and the United States. The United States also sees China as a revisionist actor whose long-term objective is global supremacy. This is a consensus in the United States between the two main parties as a principle.

Economic competition and tensions over trade, economic and fiscal policies will shape the real dimensions of competition, given China’s future chairmanship of BRICS and its strategic role in the global economy. Also, the technological dimension of the competition will deepen, which is also related to geopolitical questions in its traditional sense, in fact, the same areas of political influence will this time become areas of technical influence on digital products and services. In this regard, issues related to the development and use of technologies are increasingly linked to political and ideological aspects, and they become part of a systemic opposition or competition: for example, the type of relationship between government and society or global competition between liberal and democratic paradigms on the one hand, and the authoritarian on the other hand.

China’s future chairmanship of BRICS will be crucial in building a strong international front to enhance the level and scope of strategic cooperation in the political, economic, and security dimensions in line with China’s goals and for expanding its influence, which could ultimately weaken the unipolar world under the domination of the United States in the West and become the basis for unilateralism, which will also play an effective role in balancing multilateral interactions and the global will to establish equal relations based on peace and development among countries. Security, cultural, technological, and counter-terrorism cooperation in the Chinese-led BRICS will complement economic interactions.

It is not easy to distinguish between Beijing’s medium- and long-term strategic goals, which have become one of the hottest topics in the Western discourse on China, and the many analysis at the academic level. However, it is clear that Beijing is moving in a direction that will lead to the flourishing of strategic cooperation in the East, reconstruction of China as a central player in Asia, and leading power in the world arena, a country with greater ability in shaping rules and norms and international institutions in line with their preferences. Leaders of China, as the world’s second-largest economy, while the United States continues to operate unilaterally, believe that its foreign policy and foreign relations should support its national goals, especially its sustainable development. Therefore, Beijing, by mastering the problems of the world, tries to overcome short-term obstacles in order to achieve its long-term goals.

Extensive cooperation in the Chinese-led BRICS is not limited to economic matters, as it paves the way for increasing China’s influence and, on the one hand, in the context of regional and international developments, will change the balance of the strategic interests of independent states with concerns, opportunities, and common threats, on order to be an effective axis for political, security and economic cooperation of regional countries.

Overall, the pattern of cooperation in the Chinese-led BRICS can be a symbol of international cooperation based on respect and independent political will, which can provide an effective synergy in building bilateral and multilateral cooperation capacities among developing countries and regional powers. At the same time, China’s leadership over a number of emerging economies members in BRICS could strengthen various aspects of China’s economy and, as a result, strengthen its ability to compete economically with the United States.

0 Comments

Submit a Comment

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

LATEST CONTENT

Characteristics and Strategic Consequences of Iran’s Historic Response to Zionist Regime

Strategic Council Online—Opinion: There are two different views about the Islamic Republic of Iran’s missile attacks against the Zionist regime. The first view is based on a superficial reading and a reductionist description that evaluates it as a low-impact and not-so-extensive operation. The second view, a realistic reading, sees Iran’s response as opening a new page of “balance of power” and “turning point” in regional equations, the effects and consequences of which will gradually emerge.

Opportunities & Challenges of NATO on Its 75th Birthday

Strategic Council Online—Opinion: An expert on international affairs said: Although NATO, on its 75th birthday, has become more cohesive than three decades ago due to Russia’s attack on Ukraine, this does not mean it will not face challenges in its future prospects.

Biden-Netanyahu Rift Grows Wider, But US-Israel Strategic Relations Persist

Strategic Council Online – Opinion: In recent weeks, the verbal disputes between Washington and Tel Aviv regarding the Gaza war have increased. The tensions that have arisen are such that some international observers interpret it as a difference between America and the Zionist regime, and some talk about the first “rift” between the two sides in the last 76 years.

The impact of recent Turkish elections on the political future of the ruling party

Strategic Council Online—Opinion: Recep Tayyip Erdogan, the President of Turkiye, on the same night that he won the second round of the presidential elections in May 2023, told the crowd of his supporters, “We love Istanbul, we started our journey to this city, and we will continue it.” At the same time, he wanted to take back the Istanbul Municipality from the rival and kept repeating that we will take back Istanbul. Erdogan referred to the Istanbul Municipality, which his party lost in 2019 elections of this metropolis and the economic capital of Turkiye, to his Republican opponent, Akram Imamoglu.
Siyamak Kakaee—Researcher of Turkiye affairs

Netanyahu’s Internal Challenges

Strategic Council Online – Opinion: The increasing trend of political and security “challenges” in the Zionist regime is one of the “important consequences” of the Gaza war.
Hamid Khoshayand – expert on regional issues

An Analysis on Dimensions of European Support for Ukraine

Strategic Council Online – Opinion: In the wake of the war in Ukraine, which has affected the international community, especially Europe, the leaders of the three EU member states, France, Germany, and Poland, recently agreed to increase efforts to purchase and produce weapons in Ukraine.
Hossein Sayahi – International Researcher

Loading

Últimas publicaciones

Characteristics and Strategic Consequences of Iran’s Historic Response to Zionist Regime

Strategic Council Online—Opinion: There are two different views about the Islamic Republic of Iran’s missile attacks against the Zionist regime. The first view is based on a superficial reading and a reductionist description that evaluates it as a low-impact and not-so-extensive operation. The second view, a realistic reading, sees Iran’s response as opening a new page of “balance of power” and “turning point” in regional equations, the effects and consequences of which will gradually emerge.

Opportunities & Challenges of NATO on Its 75th Birthday

Strategic Council Online—Opinion: An expert on international affairs said: Although NATO, on its 75th birthday, has become more cohesive than three decades ago due to Russia’s attack on Ukraine, this does not mean it will not face challenges in its future prospects.

Biden-Netanyahu Rift Grows Wider, But US-Israel Strategic Relations Persist

Strategic Council Online – Opinion: In recent weeks, the verbal disputes between Washington and Tel Aviv regarding the Gaza war have increased. The tensions that have arisen are such that some international observers interpret it as a difference between America and the Zionist regime, and some talk about the first “rift” between the two sides in the last 76 years.

The impact of recent Turkish elections on the political future of the ruling party

Strategic Council Online—Opinion: Recep Tayyip Erdogan, the President of Turkiye, on the same night that he won the second round of the presidential elections in May 2023, told the crowd of his supporters, “We love Istanbul, we started our journey to this city, and we will continue it.” At the same time, he wanted to take back the Istanbul Municipality from the rival and kept repeating that we will take back Istanbul. Erdogan referred to the Istanbul Municipality, which his party lost in 2019 elections of this metropolis and the economic capital of Turkiye, to his Republican opponent, Akram Imamoglu.
Siyamak Kakaee—Researcher of Turkiye affairs

Netanyahu’s Internal Challenges

Strategic Council Online – Opinion: The increasing trend of political and security “challenges” in the Zionist regime is one of the “important consequences” of the Gaza war.
Hamid Khoshayand – expert on regional issues

An Analysis on Dimensions of European Support for Ukraine

Strategic Council Online – Opinion: In the wake of the war in Ukraine, which has affected the international community, especially Europe, the leaders of the three EU member states, France, Germany, and Poland, recently agreed to increase efforts to purchase and produce weapons in Ukraine.
Hossein Sayahi – International Researcher

Loading