Reasons & Objectives behind Resumption of Lebanon Protests

2020/05/09 | Note, political, top news

Strategic Council Online: Foreign actors are taking advantage of the existing political currents in Lebanon to spark off internal riots with the aim of overthrowing the government of Prime Minister Hassan Diab and paving the way for Saad Hariri's return to power. As a result, riots may spread in the future, and if this happens, the Diab administration will have to resign to avoid bloodshed. Hassan Hanizadeh - Middle East Affairs Expert

Lebanese protests against the economic situation, which had waned for several weeks due to coronavirus outbreak, resumed on the streets of the country last Friday; the initial reason for the resumption of protests was a further decline in the value of the Lebanese lira against the US dollar so that the parity rate of one US dollar rose to 4,000 Lebanese liras.

Widespread protests in Tripoli, in northern Lebanon, quickly spread to the south of the country, specifically to the city of Sidon. Protesters attacked banks in protest to the economic situation and several people were injured in clashes between the security forces and protesters.

Several points should be taken into consideration regarding the reasons behind the return of the protests in Lebanon and the role played by political forces. First of all, it should be noted that after the formation of the government of Hassan Diab, who is a moderate figure accepted by all Lebanese political spectrums, several factors at home and abroad started movements in this country due to the positive attitude of the new Lebanese Prime Minister towards Hizbullah.

Inside Lebanon, elements affiliated with Saad Hariri and Fouad Siniora, former prime minister as well as head of the Lebanese Forces Samir Geagea have apparently managed to organize insurgent elements in Lebanese Sunni-dwelling areas.

Political parties opposed to Hezbollah have long sought to overthrow the government of Hassan Diab, while the United States and Saudi Arabia have blocked financial aid to Lebanon of the International Monetary Fund and the European Union

As a result, these economic pressures led to a sharp drop in the price of the Lebanese lira against the US dollar, while the unemployment rate and recession in the country increased sharply. Therefore, rioters in some parts of Lebanon attacked government centres to portray an inefficient image of Hassan Diab’s government.

Therefore, upon a call by some moderate and like-minded parties with the Lebanese Islamic Resistance, the residents of the capital city Beirut staged peaceful demonstrations and called for the rioters to be brought to book.

The confrontation between the government supporters and opponents has created difficult conditions for Hassan Diab’s government and in case the government fails to contain the crisis, chaos and conflict will blanket Lebanon in the near future and the country will enter a breathtaking social crisis. In short, the cause of these crises in Lebanon is, first and foremost, the country’s unstable economic conditions and the cutting off of foreign and IMF financial aid. As Lebanon’s foreign debt has so far reached $ 85 billion, the country is not only unable to repay its debts to foreign countries, but also faces a sharp drop in liquidity.

The combination of these factors has led to the formation of the Hariri-Geagea-Siniora triangle to overthrow the government of Hassan Diab, which shares similar views with Hezbollah so that they can form a government in the future in opposition to Hezbollah.

Regarding the political future of the Lebanese Prime Minister, it should be noted that Hassan Diab is facing two major problems: first, the cessation of international financial aid, which has had a negative impact on the fragile Lebanese economy.

Another issue is the Prime Minister’s positive view towards the Lebanese Islamic Resistance, which is why regional and international powers are trying to force Diab to change his attitude towards Hezbollah through economic and financial pressure on his government.

Therefore, Foreign actors are taking advantage of the existing political currents in Lebanon to spark off internal riots with the aim of overthrowing the government of Prime Minister Hassan Diab and paving the way for Saad Hariri’s return to power. For this same reason, riots may spread in the future, and if this happens, the Diab administration will have to resign to avoid bloodshed.

It is also possible that disputes between the March 14 and March 8 currents, which have been at odds for a long time, would once again worsen; as clashes between supporters of the two currents are predicted to get their way to streets in some cities.

0 Comments

Submit a Comment

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

LATEST CONTENT

Characteristics and Strategic Consequences of Iran’s Historic Response to Zionist Regime

Strategic Council Online—Opinion: There are two different views about the Islamic Republic of Iran’s missile attacks against the Zionist regime. The first view is based on a superficial reading and a reductionist description that evaluates it as a low-impact and not-so-extensive operation. The second view, a realistic reading, sees Iran’s response as opening a new page of “balance of power” and “turning point” in regional equations, the effects and consequences of which will gradually emerge.

Opportunities & Challenges of NATO on Its 75th Birthday

Strategic Council Online—Opinion: An expert on international affairs said: Although NATO, on its 75th birthday, has become more cohesive than three decades ago due to Russia’s attack on Ukraine, this does not mean it will not face challenges in its future prospects.

Biden-Netanyahu Rift Grows Wider, But US-Israel Strategic Relations Persist

Strategic Council Online – Opinion: In recent weeks, the verbal disputes between Washington and Tel Aviv regarding the Gaza war have increased. The tensions that have arisen are such that some international observers interpret it as a difference between America and the Zionist regime, and some talk about the first “rift” between the two sides in the last 76 years.

The impact of recent Turkish elections on the political future of the ruling party

Strategic Council Online—Opinion: Recep Tayyip Erdogan, the President of Turkiye, on the same night that he won the second round of the presidential elections in May 2023, told the crowd of his supporters, “We love Istanbul, we started our journey to this city, and we will continue it.” At the same time, he wanted to take back the Istanbul Municipality from the rival and kept repeating that we will take back Istanbul. Erdogan referred to the Istanbul Municipality, which his party lost in 2019 elections of this metropolis and the economic capital of Turkiye, to his Republican opponent, Akram Imamoglu.
Siyamak Kakaee—Researcher of Turkiye affairs

Netanyahu’s Internal Challenges

Strategic Council Online – Opinion: The increasing trend of political and security “challenges” in the Zionist regime is one of the “important consequences” of the Gaza war.
Hamid Khoshayand – expert on regional issues

An Analysis on Dimensions of European Support for Ukraine

Strategic Council Online – Opinion: In the wake of the war in Ukraine, which has affected the international community, especially Europe, the leaders of the three EU member states, France, Germany, and Poland, recently agreed to increase efforts to purchase and produce weapons in Ukraine.
Hossein Sayahi – International Researcher

Loading

Últimas publicaciones

Characteristics and Strategic Consequences of Iran’s Historic Response to Zionist Regime

Strategic Council Online—Opinion: There are two different views about the Islamic Republic of Iran’s missile attacks against the Zionist regime. The first view is based on a superficial reading and a reductionist description that evaluates it as a low-impact and not-so-extensive operation. The second view, a realistic reading, sees Iran’s response as opening a new page of “balance of power” and “turning point” in regional equations, the effects and consequences of which will gradually emerge.

Opportunities & Challenges of NATO on Its 75th Birthday

Strategic Council Online—Opinion: An expert on international affairs said: Although NATO, on its 75th birthday, has become more cohesive than three decades ago due to Russia’s attack on Ukraine, this does not mean it will not face challenges in its future prospects.

Biden-Netanyahu Rift Grows Wider, But US-Israel Strategic Relations Persist

Strategic Council Online – Opinion: In recent weeks, the verbal disputes between Washington and Tel Aviv regarding the Gaza war have increased. The tensions that have arisen are such that some international observers interpret it as a difference between America and the Zionist regime, and some talk about the first “rift” between the two sides in the last 76 years.

The impact of recent Turkish elections on the political future of the ruling party

Strategic Council Online—Opinion: Recep Tayyip Erdogan, the President of Turkiye, on the same night that he won the second round of the presidential elections in May 2023, told the crowd of his supporters, “We love Istanbul, we started our journey to this city, and we will continue it.” At the same time, he wanted to take back the Istanbul Municipality from the rival and kept repeating that we will take back Istanbul. Erdogan referred to the Istanbul Municipality, which his party lost in 2019 elections of this metropolis and the economic capital of Turkiye, to his Republican opponent, Akram Imamoglu.
Siyamak Kakaee—Researcher of Turkiye affairs

Netanyahu’s Internal Challenges

Strategic Council Online – Opinion: The increasing trend of political and security “challenges” in the Zionist regime is one of the “important consequences” of the Gaza war.
Hamid Khoshayand – expert on regional issues

An Analysis on Dimensions of European Support for Ukraine

Strategic Council Online – Opinion: In the wake of the war in Ukraine, which has affected the international community, especially Europe, the leaders of the three EU member states, France, Germany, and Poland, recently agreed to increase efforts to purchase and produce weapons in Ukraine.
Hossein Sayahi – International Researcher

Loading