بایگانی‌های Libya - Strategic Council on Foreign Relations

Extraction of Energy in Mediterranean & Its Legal Complexity

Strategic Council Online: In the matter of fossil energy resources in the Mediterranean, Egypt, the Zionist regime, Greece and Cyprus have formed a bloc against that of Turkey, Libya and the Northern Cyprus. This situation has drawn the region to further security and military disputes. Meanwhile, if Syria, Lebanon and Gaza also enter the process of exploring and extracting gas fields, the equations will be much more complex.
Sabah Zangeneh – Energy Affairs Expert

Why the Ceasefire in Libya Failed?

Strategic Council Online: The new round of rivalries in Libya began when the Turkish and Russian governments sought to pave the way for their exclusive presence in the country under the pretext of a ceasefire. They aimed to forge an agreement between Seraj and Haftar governments without the knowledge of the European states.
Jafar Qanadbashi – Middle East Affairs Expert

Falling Oil Prices & Decline of Militarism in the MENA

Strategic Council Online: An expert on political economy said that until now the treasury of the Persian Gulf Arab states was the unofficial treasury of the Americans, adding that this type of funding will practically be cut with the falling oil prices because the Arab states themselves are faced with budget deficits and cannot afford supporting US terrorist schemes in the region.

Strategic Outcome of Escalating Intervention by Foreign Actors in Libya

Strategic Council Online: Referring to the war of words between Turkey and the UAE over Libya, a university professor said that the rivalry that has taken place between the two groups in Libya is an endless game in which neither side will succeed in becoming influential powers in the Middle East and the Mediterranean. He said if this trend continues they will not be total victors in Libya.

Russian-Saudi Oil Deal; Dimensions & Implications

Strategic Council Online: The Saudi-Russian agreement on oil output cut has revived the role of the United States, which was being forgotten as a result of falling oil prices and the lack of economic efficiency in shale oil extraction, and the United States is effectively playing an influential role in the global oil market.
Sabah Zanganeh – Expert on International Affairs

Turkish Army’s Approach on Idlib after Truce with Russia

Strategic Council Online: A university professor said there was no consensus on maintaining a long-term ceasefire in Idlib, noting that sooner or later this fragile ceasefire would collapse because Turkey has realized Bashar Assad will stay in power and therefore Ankara will need a bargaining chip to protect its interests.

New Balance of Power against Turkey

Strategic Council Online: A former ambassador and Middle East expert says the recent developments in Arab states against Turkey are expected to create a new balance of power. “If Erdogan fails to pay attention to the issue, the axis is likely to boost its status against Turkey in the future.

Risk of Regional Warfare in Libya and UN Inefficiency

Strategic Council Online: Former Iranian ambassador to Libya criticizing the UN role and performance in Libya crisis said the outbreak of a regional war in Libya is unlikely but current violence and political confrontations will continue.

Haftar’s Goals behind Conditional Acceptance of Ceasefire

Strategic Council Online: A university professor outlining the failure to achieve peace and ceasefire in Libya said: Since Khalifa Haftar is fully aware that Turkey would not abandon its support for economic investments and Brotherhood-led government in North Africa it has made accepting the ceasefire conditional on Turkish troop withdrawal from Libya to send the ball into the court of the National Unity Government and impose international pressure on it

Heavy Shadow of West’s Decline on Munich Security Conference

Strategic Council Online: A faculty member of the Shahid Beheshti University outlining the most important issues at the Munich Security Conference described the current state of world security as extremely shaky and noted that the Conference could not accomplish any important results.

Russian Response and Warning to Turkey in Syria

Strategic Council Online: What is evident in the Turkish government’s intentions to deploy troops, or in other words maintain military presence in Libya, is that the Erdogan government not only in words but in practice wants to somehow revive the Ottoman Empire by restoring Turkey’s leadership in the Muslim world through a formidable foreign policy game.
Dr Ghadir Golkarian, professor at the University of Near East, Cyprus

Berlin Conference: Scene of Rivalry and Profit Seeking of Different Actors in Libya

Strategic Council Online: Despite the presence of representatives of the four major international organizations, the Berlin Conference was a venue for the rivalry of various big players and profit-seeking of European powers over its resources rather than showing conciliation and convergence on a ceasefire and peace in Libya.
Jafar Ghanadbashi – African Affairs Expert

Implications of Russia-Syria-Turkey Intelligence Summit

Strategic Council Online: An Asian affairs expert has described a security conference between heads of Turkish and Syrian intelligence agencies in Russia after long years an important and eye-catching development. “Considering its field victories Syria seems to have sent a strong message to the Turkish authorities about complete withdrawal from Syrian lands and the decision to fight terrorism and return all occupied Syrian lands.

Scenarios Ahead of the Libyan Crisis

Strategic Council Online: In Libya, extensive military and material support is extended to General Khalifa Haftar. In regional level too, countries like Jordan, Sudan, UAE and Egypt extend logistical, financial and military support to Haftar. Therefore, the probability of his victory and the defeat of Faiz al-Seraj is one of the leading scenarios.

Will Libya Attain Tranquility?

Strategic Council Online: A university professor cited Moscow’s announcement that Khalifa Haftar has left Moscow without signing a ceasefire agreement with the Libyan National Unity Government, saying: “Until the Arab countries are convinced that Khalifa Haftar will have the upper hand in the agreements to be reached, they will not be willing to allow him to agree to a ceasefire.”

Turkey’s Intentions behind Troop Dispatch to Libya

Strategic Council Online: Despite the geographical, strategic and economic importance of Libya for Turkey, the Mediterranean movements of Ankara occur within the framework of a new policy Recep Tayyip Erdogan seeks to apply.
Siamak Kakai – Turkey Affairs expert

Libya’s Ambiguous Perspective

Strategic Council Online: An expert on African affairs says the proxy war in Libya has somehow started with the intervention of the regional states, mainly the Arab states. He considers the ineffectiveness of the National Unity Government a means to further intensify the provocative efforts of Khalifa Haftar, emphasizing that in these circumstances, one cannot virtually draw a good perspective for the future of the Libyan government.

Behind the Scene of Libyan Proxy War

Strategic Council Online: The West, along with the UAE and Saudi Arabia, are behind General Khalifa Haftar in the Libyan unrest while Turkey, Qatar and the United Nations stand against him and support the legal rule of Fayez al-Sarraj.
Jafar Ghanadbashi – African Affairs expert