Boris Johnson’s Scramble to Meet Challenges of Post-Brexit

2020/09/27 | Note, political, top news

Strategic Council Online - London is now in an ambiguous position because it is both about to secede completely from the European Union and it is not clear what trend the US will adopt towards Britain after its separation. Ali Bigdeli – Expert on European Affairs

On January 31, 2020 Britain formally withdrew from the European Union but will continue to maintain the main criteria for membership during the transition period, which is set to end late this year.

UK-EU relations are now in transition for a year and during this period the two sides have the opportunity to reach agreement on the post-Brexit relations. Recently, European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen, while expressing concern about the progress of the Brexit agreement, expressed concern over the advancement of Brexit agreement and said the possibility for the timely formation of the agreement is decreasing every day.

Simultaneously, Britain which cannot imagine a positive outlook for its relations with the European Union, seeks to reinforce its foothold in the world for the post-Brexit period. In this regard, it was recently announced that on a new economic partnership, Japan and Britain have reached a comprehensive agreement. The two sides intend to implement this agreement on January 1, 2021.

In fact, by leaving the European Union, Britain can enter into negotiations with all countries and set new rules and regulations for exports-imports and services; but the problem is that much of London’s policy is dependent on Washington and the next White House President.

Given that British Prime Minister Boris Johnson has neo-conservative leanings, which are close to Donald Trump’s way of thinking, he would think that by leaving the EU, he could gain a large market in the US; but so far he has failed to achieve this target and Trump has not provided such an environment for Johnson either. Therefore, it seems that the British Prime Minister is somewhat skeptical about his country’s withdrawal from the EU and his measure in withdrawing Britain from the EU has caused great losses to the London economy. Because, Britain has more than 30 billion dollars’ worth of trade transactions with European countries, and more than 3 million Britons are working in various EU member states who are forced to leave Europe a year after implementation of the Brexit Treaty. Thus, the return of this number of unemployed workers to the UK cause more economic problems for the country in the Corona crisis condition.

In this regard, Johnson tries not to lose his economic position in the European Union, especially in Ireland, and to continue this trend at least until the Brexit is not yet implemented. In the second stage, Johnson’s view is to non-European countries, including Japan, and the recent Tokyo-London agreement can be analyzed in this regard.

Although Britain has calculated that it may be able to improve its economic position in the Middle East and the Persian Gulf with the help of the United States in the post-Brexit period, the situation in these areas is not good enough for London to enable it to create a new economic atmosphere for itself.

Therefore, due to the major economic problems in Britain, Boris Johnson is currently facing severe bottlenecks.

Of course, the Neo-Conservative British party hopes that Donald Trump again will win and that they could be able to achieve some of their economic targets beside Washington, both in the US and in the sphere of influence of this country, especially the Persian Gulf sheikhdoms.

Given that the Persian Gulf sheikhdoms are almost economically saturated, this has become a bit difficult for London, but because the UAE has just entered into the phase of building nuclear power plants, Britain may be able to benefit from that country in this regard.

However, as mentioned before, these situations depend on whether Trump re-enters the White House or not.

In fact, if Trump does not win and the Democrats win, the Democrats’ relationship with the British Conservatives is usually not good. Therefore, if Joe Biden wins, Britain will not be able to achieve a suitable atmosphere in the US, despite the neoconservative thinking and policies in London.

Regarding the relations between Tehran and London after the country’s withdrawal from the European Union, it should be noted that Britain has so far adjusted its policies within the framework of Brussels policies towards Iran. Even if Britain still keeps pace with France and Germany, it is because Britain wants to get more concessions from the European Union within a year of full withdrawal from the EU, in line with some of Brussels policies. We are also witnessing some disagreements between Washington and London in this regard. This London approach indicates that Boris Johnson wants to maintain the EU space in any way possible and still holds a foothold in the EU after the end of the one-year term of Brexit. It seems very unlikely though because France and Germany do not have very good relations with Britain at the moment. As a result, London is now in an ambiguous position because it is both about to secede completely from the European Union and it is not clear what trend the US will adopt towards Britain after its separation.

0 Comments

Submit a Comment

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

LATEST CONTENT

Zionist Regime’s Post-War Map for Gaza

Strategic Council Online – Interview: An expert on Middle East issues said: After nearly 150 days have passed since the attacks of Israeli planes on Gaza and the unprecedented genocide in this city, regional and international efforts to end the Gaza crisis have intensified.

Reasons for Inaction & Inefficiency of Intl Organizations in Providing Aid to Gaza

Strategic Council Online: An expert on regional issues said: With the start of the Gaza war, many major powers and international organizations not only did not take honest action to support the defenseless Palestinian people, but instead, with their support for the actions of the Zionist regime, they caused their crimes to increase over the past five months.

France and the Two-State Solution in Occupied Territories

Strategic Council Online – Interview: An expert on regional issues said: The announcement of France’s agreement with the formation of two states in the Occupied Territories is a measure to raise the international image of France and reduce domestic pressure on the Macron government for inaction against the Israeli crimes in Gaza.

The Prospect of US Military Withdrawal from Iraq

Strategic Council Online – Opinion: Although most currents, politicians and even ordinary people in Iraq call for withdrawal of American military forces from their country, there are sometimes differences of opinion regarding the time of this withdrawal. On the one hand, Mohammad Shia al-Sudani, the Prime Minister of Iraq, is very serious in demanding the withdrawal of American troops from Iraq. Still, he wants to achieve this goal through “negotiation and political deal”. On the other hand, the Iraqi Resistance groups want the Americans to leave this country as soon as possible. The American side is also talking about a military withdrawal from Iraq in the next three years.

Russia’s Multifaceted Relations with Neighbors

Strategic Council Online – Interview: An international affairs expert said: After Russia attacked Ukraine two years ago, the country’s relations with some of its European neighbors were severely disturbed in such a way that a clear future cannot be imagined for it.

Solution to Get Out of FATF Blacklist and Get Rid of Its Heavy Costs?

Strategic Council Online – Opinion: The Financial Action Task Force, FATF, announced on Friday, February 23, that the name of the Islamic Republic of Iran remains on the “blacklist” of this international organization. A decision that was not unexpected for the authorities of our country. According to the Governor of the Central Bank of Iran, one day before the release of the FATF statement, due to the current sanctions, Iran is looking for its own FATF, as it uses other tools instead of SWIFT (Society for Worldwide Interbank Financial Telecommunications). On this basis, it seems that while the United Arab Emirates and Lebanon were removed from the “Grey List” of FATF in the previous reviews in June 2024, the Islamic Republic of Iran is not trying to be exempted from the blacklist. But what kind of organization is FATF, and why are some in Iran against joining it? And what is the way out of this situation?

Loading

Últimas publicaciones

Zionist Regime’s Post-War Map for Gaza

Strategic Council Online – Interview: An expert on Middle East issues said: After nearly 150 days have passed since the attacks of Israeli planes on Gaza and the unprecedented genocide in this city, regional and international efforts to end the Gaza crisis have intensified.

Reasons for Inaction & Inefficiency of Intl Organizations in Providing Aid to Gaza

Strategic Council Online: An expert on regional issues said: With the start of the Gaza war, many major powers and international organizations not only did not take honest action to support the defenseless Palestinian people, but instead, with their support for the actions of the Zionist regime, they caused their crimes to increase over the past five months.

France and the Two-State Solution in Occupied Territories

Strategic Council Online – Interview: An expert on regional issues said: The announcement of France’s agreement with the formation of two states in the Occupied Territories is a measure to raise the international image of France and reduce domestic pressure on the Macron government for inaction against the Israeli crimes in Gaza.

The Prospect of US Military Withdrawal from Iraq

Strategic Council Online – Opinion: Although most currents, politicians and even ordinary people in Iraq call for withdrawal of American military forces from their country, there are sometimes differences of opinion regarding the time of this withdrawal. On the one hand, Mohammad Shia al-Sudani, the Prime Minister of Iraq, is very serious in demanding the withdrawal of American troops from Iraq. Still, he wants to achieve this goal through “negotiation and political deal”. On the other hand, the Iraqi Resistance groups want the Americans to leave this country as soon as possible. The American side is also talking about a military withdrawal from Iraq in the next three years.

Russia’s Multifaceted Relations with Neighbors

Strategic Council Online – Interview: An international affairs expert said: After Russia attacked Ukraine two years ago, the country’s relations with some of its European neighbors were severely disturbed in such a way that a clear future cannot be imagined for it.

Solution to Get Out of FATF Blacklist and Get Rid of Its Heavy Costs?

Strategic Council Online – Opinion: The Financial Action Task Force, FATF, announced on Friday, February 23, that the name of the Islamic Republic of Iran remains on the “blacklist” of this international organization. A decision that was not unexpected for the authorities of our country. According to the Governor of the Central Bank of Iran, one day before the release of the FATF statement, due to the current sanctions, Iran is looking for its own FATF, as it uses other tools instead of SWIFT (Society for Worldwide Interbank Financial Telecommunications). On this basis, it seems that while the United Arab Emirates and Lebanon were removed from the “Grey List” of FATF in the previous reviews in June 2024, the Islamic Republic of Iran is not trying to be exempted from the blacklist. But what kind of organization is FATF, and why are some in Iran against joining it? And what is the way out of this situation?

Loading