Hade Sayed Afqahi, in an interview with the Strategic Council on Foreign Relations website about the developments and internal status of the occupied territories, stated: The war and its effects on the internal issues of the Zionist regime are clear; whenever the possibility of negotiations between the Zionist regime and the Palestinian parties is raised and there is talk of a possible opening up, Netanyahu upsets the negotiating table, and this shows that the interests of this regime and him personally are in continuing the war.
He continued: Until before October 7, Netanyahu had several fundamental problems; The corruption case against himself and his family members, and the judicial reforms based on which the rulings issued by the judiciary must get the approval of the Knesset. On the other hand, if the Knesset does not support Netanyahu, the MPs may bring up the corruption case again, creating a severe crisis in the Netanyahu government.
This expert on regional issues said: After October 7, the Hamas attacks and the hostage issue, which has not yet been fully resolved, have been added to the list, while 59 hostages have not yet been released. Of course, the longer this process takes, the worse it will get for Netanyahu.
In response to the question of why Netanyahu violated the ceasefire and continued attacks in Gaza, he stated: First, Trump has left Netanyahu’s hand completely open in Gaza, but he has set a time limit for him to move towards peace and a solution to the problem. Naturally, the continuation of this situation in Gaza and the violation of humanitarian laws will not be in Trump’s favor.
This expert on regional issues emphasized that Netanyahu’s current situation in the Knesset is good, and one of the reasons why he has easily dealt with the hostage issue and is in no hurry to release the remaining hostages is the support of the Knesset for him. He said: “Netanyahu has naturally received more support with the transfers, dismissals and appointments he makes, and the concessions he gives to the religious right and extremist movements in the occupied territories.
Currently, Netanyahu has 68 seats in his support in the Knesset, which is a significant number. If the internal demonstrations in Tel Aviv disrupt the internal security of the Israeli regime, then the Knesset may declare a state of emergency, and this is not in Netanyahu’s interest.” He continued: “The resignation or dismissal of the Shin Bet chief was among the measures that Netanyahu took to remain in power.” But the head of the Shin Bet was not an individual who opposed this process, but rather a movement all of which them stood up to Netanyahu, and after that we witnessed the signing of unprecedented petitions in the Zionist regime, including pilots, doctors, military personnel, and Mossad employees who joined the domestic protests. Recently, Ehud Barak and Lapid also announced that there was very little time left before civil war would break out. If this process escalates, the Zionist regime will face a dangerous situation. Of course, as long as Netanyahu has the support of the Knesset, he will have the upper hand and continue the war.
This expert on regional issues said: The members of the far-right coalition in the Zionist regime are seeking the destruction of Hamas, and Netanyahu continues the war to satisfy them. On the other hand, the issue of relocation from Gaza is an issue that both Trump and the far-right in the Israeli regime support.
Afqahi continued: Regardless of the economic and political crises, Netanyahu’s insistence on returning those who emigrated from the occupied territories when the war began shows that this issue is critical to Netanyahu. Netanyahu had threatened that if those who emigrated did not return within two months, he would cut off their facilities and concessions. Still, he was forced to extend this period due to unbalanced conditions.
Regarding the Iran-US negotiations and the Israeli regime’s view of these talks, he stated: Netanyahu is definitely not happy with these negotiations and was looking for a similar treatment to what was done with Libya to be done with Iran. These are issues that are putting pressure on him, and Netanyahu is expanding the scope of the war to escape the pressure and is trying to stabilize his situation under this pretext. If the outlook for the Iran-US negotiations is positive, Trump will prevent Netanyahu from unilateralism and hostile actions, because he has an economic view of issues above all else. He even has an economic view of purely security issues, such as the question of NATO’s continued activity. he stated: On the one hand, Netanyahu is in a fragile situation inside the occupied territories, and the situation could become extremely critical at any time.
On the other hand, the war has started again, and Hamas and Islamic Jihad have become active again to confront the Israeli regime; when the Zionist regime forces tried to enter Gaza by land, Hamas reacted. But Netanyahu has gained power in the Knesset as much as he is in a fragile situation inside, so it remains to be seen which way the scales will tip. He concluded: Netanyahu has relied on the religious right parties and his rivals in the Likud party at home, and he will strongly confront and oppose any step taken towards the survival of Hamas, such as a ceasefire. At the same time, many believe that the support of the extreme right for Netanyahu will not last, and he will have to resort to peace negotiations and a ceasefire agreement to appease America.
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