An Analysis of the Upcoming American Elections

2024/08/05 | interview, political, top news

Strategic Council Online—Interview: An expert on American issues said: Following Joe Biden's withdrawal from the US election, Kamala Harris entered the race as the Democratic Party candidate. But why did Biden leave, and does Harris have the ability to compete with Donald Trump? Also, what is the direction of this Democratic candidate's foreign policy?

In an interview with the website of the Strategic Council on Foreign Relations, Amir Ali Abolfath said about the reasons for Biden’s resignation: “After the decisive debate between Joe Biden and Donald Trump, Biden presented a very weak image of himself that he could neither speak properly nor even walk easily. Therefore, after that debate, the pressure on the President of the United States became so great that he had to withdraw from the election contest.”

He added, “Actually, an intra-party coup happened overnight. Biden insisted on staying in this campaign, and his close aides also supported him, but the party leaders were against it, and in the end, Biden withdrew. Party leaders even threatened to release polls the party had conducted in secret if Biden did not step down. The polls showed that Biden would definitely lose in the competition with Trump.

Abolfath explained the interactions within the Democratic Party: “Before the announcement of this decision, there were speculations that if Biden leaves, there may be differences within the Democratic Party regarding who will be the final candidate. But this prediction and speculation did not come true because the fear of Trump’s return is so high that it overshadowed all the internal divisions of the Democrats, and Kamala Harris was able to gain the party’s consensus quickly. This means that both the party’s key leaders and the National Convention’s representatives supported him.

The expert said that Harris has been able to create excitement within the party up to this point. He emphasized, “But whether the Democratic candidate can defeat Trump or not is still unclear, and there are doubts about it.” That is, at least until the first debate that Harris and Trump will hold, we have to wait and see what happens and if Harris can appear strong in front of his opponent.

Referring to the politics and the general view of the Democrats on the Iran issue, Abolfath said: “The view that the Democrats, whether the Obama Democrats or the Biden Democrats, had towards Iran, will continue if Harris wins the presidential election; It means hoping for some kind of understanding between Tehran and Washington and managing tensions with the hope of preserving the opportunity to reach an agreement.

He emphasized: “Of course, on the issue of Palestine and the resistance front and Iran’s support for this trend, American pressure against Tehran will continue. In general, if Kamala Harris wins, at least in the first months of her entry into the White House, we will not see any significant change in relations between Tehran and Washington Unless certain developments occur in Iran or the region and change the atmosphere.”

The expert explained the Democrats’ view of the Israeli-Palestinian regime war and the possibility of war spreading in the region: “The Democrats’ view of this issue is not the same; That is, as much as there is a consensus among the Republicans on supporting the Israeli regime and putting pressure on Hamas and the Palestinians, there is a difference within the Democratic Party.

A wide range of Democrats are still staunch and sworn supporters of the Israeli regime, who support both its existence and the regime’s war against Hamas. Another group of democrats support Israel’s existence but are critical of the Netanyahu government’s performance and try to differentiate between Israel’s identity and Netanyahu’s government. There is also a third group that has found an angle with the Israeli regime, which is the progressive current within the Democratic Party.

Finally, he said, “It is not yet clear which way the possible government of Kamala Harris is leaning, but it seems that she, like Biden, will try to do everything she can to support the Gaza war. At the same time, she reserves the right for herself to voice some criticisms against the Tel Aviv regime.”

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