Hamid Khoshayand – an expert on regional issues

Regarding the political and field consequences of Yahya Sinwar’s martyrdom, there are significant points, the most important of which are mentioned below:

One; The Martyrdom of Yahya Sinwar in the field of conflict was a false line on all the psychological and media creations of the Zionist regime in the last one year, which sought to induce a distorted image of Sinwar and other commanders of the Hamas Resistance who are hiding in deep tunnels and the fighters and ordinary people have been put in the crosshairs of the fighters and the Zionist army.

The Zionist regime had previously claimed that it was aware of Sinwar’s presence in the tunnels of Gaza. Still, because of concern for the lives of the prisoners who were placed under human shields, it did not take action to assassinate him and release the prisoners.

Two; The martyrdom of Yahya Sinwar has created this estimation in the military, political, and security circles of the Zionist regime that after this, the equations of the region will also change, and Netanyahu’s war cabinet will achieve its military and political goals in the war. In response to the martyrdom of Yahya Sinwar, one of the officials of the Zionist regime emphasized in a statement: “There is no such thing as Hamas anymore!”

Of course, such wishful thinking is not surprising in the inner circles of the Zionist regime officials. In the past year, affected by the harmful and irreparable consequences of Operation Al-Aqsa Sstorm, the regime talked so much about the necessity of assassinating Sinwar and exaggerating that the impression was created in the Zionist society and Netanyahu’s war cabinet that with the removal of Sinwar, Hamas was destroyed. The goals of the war in Gaza will be achieved, and all the prisoners will be released.

In addition to daily operational plans for the physical assassination of Sinwar to discredit and destroy his image and credibility among the people of Gaza and the public opinion of the region, the Zionist regime had also resorted to the assassination of his character. It began to make any kind of lies about him (hiding in tunnels and in between the human shield of prisoners).

Three; Although the loss of Yahya Sinwar is considered a victory (tactical and temporary) for the army of the Zionist regime, considering the fighting history and the effective role he had in the Al-Aqsa Storm Operation and inflicting unprecedented defeats on the Zionist regime, but considering the fighting process of Hamas from the past decades and the developments that can be seen in the fields today, this will never mean the destruction of Hamas.

Hamas and other Islamic Resistance groups have a different structure from classical armies and never rely on individuals. Sinwar had not studied in any college or higher military institution. He grew up in the field, and everything he had of genius and ability was acquired and tested in the field. This situation applies to almost the vast majority of Palestinian resistance fighters, including Hamas. Considering that he grew up on the battlefield and is familiar with all the techniques of asymmetric warfare, each fighter is his own commander and acts according to the conditions and requirements of the time.

Although the martyrdom of Sinwar will confront the warring parties in Gaza with new issues, it will not stop the movement of Hamas. In response to the dreams of the Zionist regime officials for the elimination of Hamas, Mohammad Nizal, a member of Hamas, has stated in his words: “There will be no such thing as after Hamas, and we will manage the Gaza Strip.”

Michael Milstein, the former head of Palestinian civilian affairs for the Zionist regime’s army, also believes: “This is Israel’s greatest achievement since the beginning of the war. But we should not enter the period of pride and euphoria, and we should not forget that the war is not over.”

Four; In general, there are two views regarding the consequences of Yahya Sinwar’s martyrdom. The first point of view is in the Zionist regime, which believes that with the martyrdom of Sinwar, a suitable environment has been created for the end of the war and the release of the hostages, so that the regime can focus well on other fronts, including Lebanon, by leaving the deadlock in Gaza, which is the main issue of the war.

The second point of view, which is in accordance with the historical and field facts, is based on the discourse that exists in the resistance front and, as mentioned, believes that with the martyrdom of commanders and top leaders in the field and politics. However, there may be changes in the balance scene in the short term, or field tactics can be seen, but in the long run, there will be no disruption in the process of fighting and confronting the Zionist regime. The Palestinian resistance in Gaza will continue on its path, whether with or without a border, within the framework of the principles and strategies that have been defined and defined.

Final point; The Zionist regime thinks that with the martyrdom of Sinwar, Hamas will be in a weak position and will withdraw from the terms and principles related to the ceasefire, which is a wrong calculation. Hamas has repeatedly stated that it will not accept any ceasefire until the four conditions are fulfilled. At the same time, it is very unlikely that Hamas will deviate from its demands and back down from its positions against the demands of the regime after all these high costs.

“His death is a painful and heavy blow for Hamas,” says Fawaz Gerges, a professor of international relations at the London School of Economics. However, this struggle is not limited to one person or one leader. “Israel will find itself in the same place it was the morning after it announced that Sinwar was dead. This removal of Sinwar does not really solve Israel’s strategic problem.

Makhimer Abu Sada, a professor of political science at Al-Azhar University in Gaza, who fled Gaza last year and is now a visiting researcher at Northwestern University, emphasized the death of Sinwar in his statements: “This will not be the end of Hamas. Hamas, at the end of the day, sees itself as a national liberation movement fighting against the Israeli occupation. If one leader dies, another will start and continue the fight. This is something that has been going on for years.” Therefore, for a regime that does not know how many casualties it has sustained from Hamas and does not have correct information about Hamas’s field and military capabilities, the wisest thing is to abandon the claim of destroying Hamas and stop the war in which it has no chance of winning.