In an interview with the site of Strategic Council on Foreign Relations, Ahmad Haji Sadeghian said that it seems direct military operation of Saudi Arabia has come to an end in Yemen. The country is very much interested and has made a lot of efforts for none – restoration of the operation. He spelled out:” Saudi Arabia has offered various concessions to Ansarallah to encourage it not to restore military operations”.
He added:” the approach has brought many advantages for Saudi Arabia because any threat against its territory will be wrapped up and its military expenditures will also be reduced. Moreover, in view of sensitivities and turmoil in oil market, it can push away a major threat to its oil production capability”.
In the meantime, Director of Yemen Desk at Mersaad think tank emphasized:” although Saudis are interested in putting an end to their military operations in Yemen, but they do not wish for eternal termination of clashes there. They do not wish Yemen to enter into a process of stability, tranquility and shelfing clash. In fact, Saudi Arabia’s interests will be guaranteed in short- term, mid – term and long – term if and when the cycle of turmoil continues in Yemen and the country will not witness peace”.
Haji Sadeghina explained:” policies that Saudi Arabia has so far pursued proves this very fact; Saudi Arabia has prevented paying the salary of those employees of Ansarallah controlled regions, it has also prevented holding of Yemeni – Yemeni dialog and in a number of cases controlled the supply of fuel and foodstuffs destined to Al-Hodeida port by using leverages like siege of the port. Moreover, it has made effort to mount pressures on Ansarallah authorities and to rise tension between Ansarallah and Saudi – backed government”.
Having underscored that Saudi Arabia in very much interested in developing and continuing Yemeni – Yemeni war, he said:” Although, it seems that when the present developments continue, we will witness fewer clash take place between Saudi Arabia and Yemen, but Ansarallah will be forced to put pressures on Saudi – backed government in cases in order to be able to carry out those policies it has in mind through controlling situations and taking concessions for its right including relaxation of siege and or receiving its share from oil revenues”.
Having considered the threat of the ship docked to load crude oil consignment at Al – Dabba Port in line with this, the expert of Yemeni issues added:” It seems that if and when Ansarallah is disappointed from taking remarkable concession from Saudi – backed government, it will reenter into the phase of exerting direct military pressure on Saudi Arabia in order to acquire its share from oil revenues. As the Minister of Defense of Sana’a government said the aggressive Arabic coalition should either observe the conditions of ceasefire extension or should witness crushing attacks”.
Having referred to the tasks shouldered by the United Nations to realize peace in Yemen and terminate human tragedies in the country, Haji Sadeghian underscored:” the United Nations is thoroughly playing its role in the West’s and Europe’s front. The U.S. and specially Europe are very much concerned that at present situation of energy market, a new shock will be imposed on it. That’s why they have applied too much pressure to extend the ceasefire in place for non – restoration of Ansarrallah attacks on Saudi’s oil installations. At the moment, because of Ansarallah’s capability to insecure “Bab – El Mandeb” Strait for Saudi Arabia’s oil consignments, there is a huge potential to exacerbate the shock on energy market. That’s why we witness the increasing efforts made by Europeans as they have sent numerous political delegations to Muscat, where Ansarallah diplomatic team resides”.
He continued:” the United Nations has also made its utmost effort to proceed in a way that there will not any new shock to energy market, at least by the end of winter 2023 through extending the ceasefire in Yemen. However, the continuation of the present situation depends on the policies and of course, the patience of Sana’a authorities versus unfulfillment of promises made by Saudi Arabia and coalition – backed government. They emphasize that admitting the ceasefire extension at present situation without any change would mean agreement with continuation of aggression by coalition forces and Yemeni siege”.
While referring to human situation of Yemeni people and repeated warnings of human rights organizations in this respect as well as the necessity for the UN to play an effective role, Director of Yemen Desk at Mersaad think tank said:” human rights issues have no effect on decisions made by a government like that of Saudi Arabia. Instead, there are issues such as security for energy and oil market that exert pressure on Saudis and the West to seriously pursue ceasefire. Otherwise, issues like siege and human tragedies that Yemeni people are suffering from are not issues of importance to the West and Saudi Arabia”.
On the outcomes of the decision made by the Zionist regime to establish a military base in Sagitari Island and its effects on Yemeni battle field, Haji Sadeghina also said:” after the normalization of relations between UAE and the Zionist regime, confirmed reports circulated about the presence of Zionist tourists in Sagitari Island but there was never any comment released or news published about the military presence of the regime in the region. Moreover, UAE acts in adequate coordination with the Zionist regime. UAE has also official military presence in the Red Sea and Bab El – Mandeb region and this minimizes the possibility of direct military presence of the Zionist regime in Sagtari Island”.
He continued:” UAE continues its presence in line with the occupation of parts of Yemen, especially important and strategic Sagitari Island. According to media reports, UAE has operationalized flights between Sagitari Island and Somalia and issues Sagtari tourists UAE visa without the consent of Yemeni authorities. Yet, the stabilization of UAE military presence in South Yemen and Gulf of Aden provokes dangers for political – security equations of the region which will unbalance present political equations; an unfavorable issue to Saudis.